Champions League

Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg

Mar 14, 2023 at 8pm UK

Etihad Stadium

Man City
7 - 0
RB Leipzig

(Manchester City win 8-1 on aggregate)

Braut Haaland (22' pen., 24', 45+2', 53', 57'), Gundogan (49'), De Bruyne (90+2')
De Bruyne (67'), Akanji (77')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Henrichs (21'), Werner (34')

Erling Braut Haaland: 'I would love to have scored a double hat-trick'

Erling Braut Haaland reflects on a record-breaking night in front of goal after scoring five times in Manchester City's 7-0 win over RB Leipzig in the Champions League on Tuesday.

Mar 14, 23:57

Manchester City's Erling Braut Haaland pictured in March 2023

Erling Braut Haaland breaks Manchester City's all-time season scoring record

Erling Braut Haaland breaks Manchester City's all-time seasonal scoring record and achieves three Champions League scoring feats after netting five goals in Tuesday's 7-0 win over RB Leipzig in the last 16.

Mar 14, 23:08

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Crystal Palace 0-1 Man City
Saturday, March 11 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-0 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, March 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 57.55%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 21.55% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.08%) and 1-0 (7.76%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (5.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Manchester City	Draw	RB Leipzig
57.55% ( 0.09)	20.9% ( -0.04)	21.55% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 61.36% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.87% (

0.1)

36.13% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.76% (

0.11)

58.23% (

-0.11)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.56% (

0.06)

12.44% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.63% (

0.12)

38.37% (

-0.13)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.08% (

0.01)

29.92% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.98% (

0.01)

66.02% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Manchester City 57.55%

RB Leipzig 21.55%

Draw 20.9%

Manchester City	Draw	RB Leipzig
2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.08% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.78% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.53% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.19% Total : 57.55%	1-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.89% 0-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( 0) Other @ 0.29% Total : 20.9%	1-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.49% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.37% 1-3 @ 2.27% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 2.97% Total : 21.55%