Southampton

1 - 4

Man City

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 75.85%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 8.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.51%) and 0-3 (10.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.36%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-0 (3.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.