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Leipzig logo
Champions League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Feb 22, 2023 at 8pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Manchester City logo

RB Leipzig
1 - 1
Man City

The Match

Match Report

RB Leipzig come from behind to earn a deserved 1-1 draw against Manchester City in the first leg of their Champions League last-16 tie at the Red Bull Arena.

Team News

Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola makes three changes to his starting lineup for the first leg of their Champions League last-16 tie against RB Leipzig this evening.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between RB Leipzig and Manchester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester City could line up Wednesday's Champions League last-16 first-leg clash with RB Leipzig.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Manchester City's injury and suspension news ahead of their Champions League clash with RB Leipzig.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 59.64%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 18.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.21%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a RB Leipzig win it was 1-0 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawManchester City
18.56% (-0.081 -0.08) 21.79% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 59.64% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 53.14% (-0.113 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.39% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08)44.61% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.02% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)66.98% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.2% (-0.137 -0.14)37.8% (0.139 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.43% (-0.131 -0.13)74.57% (0.13500000000001 0.14)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.44% (0.007000000000005 0.01)14.57% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.37% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)42.63% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 18.56%
    Manchester City 59.63%
    Draw 21.79%
RB LeipzigDrawManchester City
1-0 @ 5.36% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-1 @ 5.02% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-0 @ 2.61% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.63% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.57% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 18.56%
1-1 @ 10.31% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.51% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.79%
0-1 @ 10.6% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-2 @ 10.21% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 9.94% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-3 @ 6.56% (0.025 0.03)
1-3 @ 6.38%
0-4 @ 3.16% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.11% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 3.07%
2-4 @ 1.5% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.22% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-5 @ 1.19% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 59.63%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Man City

RB Leipzig
18.8%
Draw
11.3%
Manchester City
69.9%
644
Head to Head
Dec 7, 2021 5.45pm
Group A
RB Leipzig
2-1
Man City
Szoboszlai (24'), Silva (71')
Kampl (14'), Adams (90+1')
Mahrez (77')
De Bruyne (30'), Stones (81')
Walker (83')
Sep 15, 2021 8pm
Group A
Man City
6-3
RB Leipzig
Ake (16'), Mukiele (28' og.), Mahrez (45+2' pen.), Grealish (56'), Cancelo (75'), Jesus (85')
Zinchenko (12')
Nkunku (42', 51', 73')
Klostermann (45+1'), Adams (49'), Angelino (58')
Angelino (79')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, July 2
 
5pm
 
8pm
Friday, July 5
 
5pm
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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