Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Madrid win with a probability of 65.2%. A draw has a probability of 20.4% and a win for Real Valladolid has a probability of 14.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win is 0-2 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (11.71%) and 1-2 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Real Valladolid win it is 1-0 (4.8%).
Result | ||
Real Valladolid | Draw | Real Madrid |
14.44% ( -1.44) | 20.37% ( 0.01) | 65.2% ( 1.44) |
Both teams to score 48.82% ( -3.52) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.19% ( -2.9) | 45.81% ( 2.9) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.88% ( -2.81) | 68.13% ( 2.81) |
Real Valladolid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.28% ( -3.73) | 43.73% ( 3.74) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.1% ( -3.25) | 79.9% ( 3.25) |
Real Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.75% ( -0.47) | 13.26% ( 0.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.96% ( -0.96) | 40.04% ( 0.97) |
Score Analysis |
Real Valladolid | Draw | Real Madrid |
1-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 4.01% ( -0.41) 2-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.27) 3-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.24) Other @ 1.43% Total : 14.44% | 1-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.69) 2-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.49) Other @ 0.84% Total : 20.37% | 0-2 @ 11.83% ( 1.02) 0-1 @ 11.71% ( 1.2) 1-2 @ 9.79% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 7.97% ( 0.56) 1-3 @ 6.59% ( -0.2) 0-4 @ 4.03% ( 0.21) 1-4 @ 3.33% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.39) 0-5 @ 1.63% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.22) 1-5 @ 1.35% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.86% Total : 65.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 34 | 12 | 22 | 44 |
2 | Real Madrid | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 43 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 28 |
8 | GironaGirona | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 28 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 25 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 25 |
11 | Osasuna | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 24 |
13 | Sevilla | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 22 |
15 | Getafe | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 19 |
16 | Leganes | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 19 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 17 |
18 | Espanyol | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 16 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 37 | -24 | 15 |
20 | Valencia | 19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 13 |
> La Liga Full Table |