Real Madrid5 - 2Dortmund
The Match
Match Report
Team News
Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, October 19 at 8pm in La Liga
for
Friday, October 18 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
for
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 60.48%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 19.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.33%) and 1-0 (7.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.91%), while for a Borussia Dortmund win it was 1-2 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Madrid | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
60.48% ( 0.29) | 20.01% ( -0.09) | 19.51% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 61.24% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
