Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 3, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Napoli2 - 3Real Madrid
FT(HT: 1-2)
Junior (27'), Bellingham (34'), Meret (78' og.)
Camavinga (29'), Bellingham (70'), Arrizabalaga (89')
Camavinga (29'), Bellingham (70'), Arrizabalaga (89')
The Match
Match Report
Jude Bellingham shines as Real Madrid secure a crucial 3-2 victory over Napoli at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona.
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's Champions League clash between Napoli and Real Madrid.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Napoli and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Tuesday's Champions League clash with Napoli.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their Champions League clash with Napoli.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lecce 0-4 Napoli
Saturday, September 30 at 2pm in Serie A
Saturday, September 30 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Girona 0-3 Real Madrid
Saturday, September 30 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Saturday, September 30 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 43.81%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.32%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Real Madrid |
43.81% ( 0.68) | 23.45% ( -0.49) | 32.74% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 62.48% ( 1.71) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.89% ( 2.28) | 39.11% ( -2.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.56% ( 2.35) | 61.43% ( -2.36) |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.77% ( 1.21) | 18.22% ( -1.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.75% ( 2.03) | 49.25% ( -2.04) |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.41% ( 0.97) | 23.58% ( -0.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.34% ( 1.39) | 57.65% ( -1.39) |
| Score Analysis |
Napoli 43.81%
Real Madrid 32.74%
Draw 23.45%
| Napoli | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 2-1 @ 9% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.5)2-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 5.11% ( 0.2)3-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.24)3-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.16)4-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.16)4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.69% Total : 43.81% | 1-1 @ 10.57% ( -0.41) 2-2 @ 6.5% ( 0.19)0-0 @ 4.3% ( -0.48)3-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.16)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.45% | 1-2 @ 7.63% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 6.21% ( -0.5)0-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.22)1-3 @ 3.68% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.18)0-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.99% Total : 32.74% |
How you voted: Napoli vs Real Madrid
Napoli
23.2%Draw
18.0%Real Madrid
58.8%311
Head to Head
Mar 7, 2017 7.45pm
Round of 16
Napoli
1-3
Real Madrid
Form Guide
Build-up
Real Madrid team news: Injury, suspension list vs. Napoli
Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their Champions League clash with Napoli.
2 years ago
How Real Madrid could line up against Napoli
Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Tuesday's Champions League clash with Napoli.
2 years ago
Real Madrid missing four players for Napoli clash
Real Madrid defender David Alaba has not recovered from a groin issue in time for Tuesday's Champions League clash with Napoli.
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