Serie A | Gameweek 7
Sep 30, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Lecce0 - 4Napoli
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Juventus 1-0 Lecce
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in Serie A
We said: Lecce 1-2 Napoli
It may not be the most harmonious camp at Napoli right now, but last season's champions still possess plenty of punch in attack. Though Lecce have conceded just one goal at home so far, the Azzurri can leave Via del Mare clutching all three points; setting up their big European clash next week. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 50%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 23.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.81%) and 1-2 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Lecce win it was 1-0 (8.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lecce | Draw | Napoli |
23.75% ( 0.29) | 26.25% ( -0.02) | 50% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 46.97% ( 0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.54% ( 0.31) | 56.46% ( -0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.53% ( 0.25) | 77.46% ( -0.25) |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.72% ( 0.45) | 39.28% ( -0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.01% ( 0.41) | 75.98% ( -0.42) |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.35% ( 0.02) | 22.65% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.71% ( 0.02) | 56.29% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
Lecce 23.75%
Napoli 50%
Draw 26.24%
| Lecce | Draw | Napoli |
| 1-0 @ 8.31% ( 0) 2-1 @ 5.77% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.44% Total : 23.75% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.72% Total : 26.24% | 0-1 @ 13.21% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 9.81% ( -0.11)1-2 @ 9.17% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.86% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 4.54% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.69% ( 0)Other @ 2.82% Total : 50% |
How you voted: Lecce vs Napoli
Lecce
2.3%Draw
22.7%Napoli
75.0%44
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2023 6pm
Aug 31, 2022 7.45pm
