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Serie A | Gameweek 7
Sep 30, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Napoli logo

Lecce
0 - 4
Napoli


Gallo (36'), Ramadani (57'), D'Aversa (67'), Gonzalez (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Skiri Oestigaard (16'), Osimhen (51'), Gaetano (88'), Politano (90+4' pen.)
Simeone (17'), Kvaratskhelia (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Juventus 1-0 Lecce
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 4-1 Udinese
Wednesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Lecce 1-2 Napoli

It may not be the most harmonious camp at Napoli right now, but last season's champions still possess plenty of punch in attack. Though Lecce have conceded just one goal at home so far, the Azzurri can leave Via del Mare clutching all three points; setting up their big European clash next week. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 50%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 23.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.81%) and 1-2 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Lecce win it was 1-0 (8.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
LecceDrawNapoli
23.75% (0.288 0.29) 26.25% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 50% (-0.264 -0.26)
Both teams to score 46.97% (0.356 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.54% (0.314 0.31)56.46% (-0.315 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.53% (0.252 0.25)77.46% (-0.253 -0.25)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.72% (0.45 0.45)39.28% (-0.449 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.01% (0.415 0.41)75.98% (-0.416 -0.42)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.35% (0.015000000000001 0.02)22.65% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.71% (0.021999999999998 0.02)56.29% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 23.75%
    Napoli 50%
    Draw 26.24%
LecceDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 8.31% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 5.77% (0.074 0.07)
2-0 @ 3.89% (0.048 0.05)
3-1 @ 1.8% (0.045 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.33% (0.033 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.21% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 23.75%
1-1 @ 12.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.9% (-0.108 -0.11)
2-2 @ 4.28% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 26.24%
0-1 @ 13.21% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-2 @ 9.81% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-2 @ 9.17% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.86% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.54% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.12% (0.029 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.8% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.69% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 50%

How you voted: Lecce vs Napoli

Lecce
2.3%
Draw
22.7%
Napoli
75.0%
44
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 29
Lecce
1-2
Napoli
Di Lorenzo (18'), Gallo (64' og.)
Aug 31, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Napoli
1-1
Lecce
Elmas (27')
Colombo (31')
Feb 9, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 23
Napoli
2-3
Lecce
Milik (48'), Callejon (90')
Koulibaly (37'), Zielinski (57'), Milik (73'), Rui (80'), Demme (84')
Lapadula (29', 61'), Mancosu (82')
Rispoli (66'), Vigorito (78'), Petriccione (85')
Sep 22, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 4
Lecce
1-4
Napoli
Mancosu (61' pen.)
Tachtsidis (37'), Gabriel (38'), Tabanelli (49')
Llorente (28', 82'), Insigne (40' pen.), Fabian (52')
Ghoulam (22'), Elmas (45'), Fabian (53')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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