Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 50%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 23.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.81%) and 1-2 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Lecce win it was 1-0 (8.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Lecce | Draw | Napoli |
23.75% ( 0.29) | 26.25% ( -0.02) | 50% ( -0.26) |
Both teams to score 46.97% ( 0.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.54% ( 0.31) | 56.46% ( -0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.53% ( 0.25) | 77.46% ( -0.25) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.72% ( 0.45) | 39.28% ( -0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.01% ( 0.41) | 75.98% ( -0.42) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.35% ( 0.02) | 22.65% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.71% ( 0.02) | 56.29% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Lecce | Draw | Napoli |
1-0 @ 8.31% ( 0) 2-1 @ 5.77% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.44% Total : 23.75% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.72% Total : 26.24% | 0-1 @ 13.21% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 9.81% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 9.17% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.86% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 4.54% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.69% ( 0) Other @ 2.82% Total : 50% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Juventus | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 12 |
2 | AC Milan | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 11 |
3 | Torino | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 11 |
4 | Inter Milan | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 11 |
5 | Udinese | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 10 |
6 | Napoli | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 10 |
7 | Empoli | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 |
8 | Lazio | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 10 |
9 | Roma | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 |
10 | Como | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
11 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 7 |
12 | Bologna | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 7 |
13 | Fiorentina | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 6 |
15 | Parma | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 5 |
16 | Lecce | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 5 |
17 | Genoa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 5 |
18 | VeneziaVenezia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 4 |
19 | Monza | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 |
20 | CagliariCagliari | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 2 |
> Serie A Full Table |