Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 57.82%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 18.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.85%) and 1-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Bologna win it was 1-0 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Bologna | Draw | Napoli |
18.91% ( -0.04) | 23.27% ( -0.04) | 57.82% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 49.12% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.71% ( 0.1) | 50.29% ( -0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.76% ( 0.09) | 72.23% ( -0.09) |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.27% ( 0.02) | 40.73% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.69% ( 0.01) | 77.31% ( -0.01) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.87% ( 0.06) | 17.13% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.64% ( 0.11) | 47.36% ( -0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Bologna | Draw | Napoli |
1-0 @ 6.27% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 4.97% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.49% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.31% ( 0) Other @ 2.06% Total : 18.91% | 1-1 @ 11.05% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.98% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.38% ( 0) Other @ 0.85% Total : 23.26% | 0-1 @ 12.3% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 10.85% 1-2 @ 9.75% ( 0) 0-3 @ 6.39% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.74% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.82% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.53% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0) 0-5 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.73% Total : 57.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 25 |
3 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
4 | Inter Milan | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 25 |
5 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
6 | Juventus | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 24 |
7 | AC Milan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 18 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
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