Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 57.82%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 18.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.85%) and 1-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Bologna win it was 1-0 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Bologna | Draw | Napoli |
18.91% ( -0.04) | 23.27% ( -0.04) | 57.82% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 49.12% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.71% ( 0.1) | 50.29% ( -0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.76% ( 0.09) | 72.23% ( -0.09) |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.27% ( 0.02) | 40.73% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.69% ( 0.01) | 77.31% ( -0.01) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.87% ( 0.06) | 17.13% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.64% ( 0.11) | 47.36% ( -0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Bologna | Draw | Napoli |
1-0 @ 6.27% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 4.97% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.49% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.31% ( 0) Other @ 2.06% Total : 18.91% | 1-1 @ 11.05% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.98% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.38% ( 0) Other @ 0.85% Total : 23.26% | 0-1 @ 12.3% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 10.85% 1-2 @ 9.75% ( 0) 0-3 @ 6.39% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.74% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.82% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.53% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0) 0-5 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.73% Total : 57.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Juventus | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 12 |
2 | AC Milan | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 11 |
3 | Torino | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 11 |
4 | Inter Milan | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 11 |
5 | Udinese | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 10 |
6 | Napoli | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 10 |
7 | Empoli | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 |
8 | Lazio | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 10 |
9 | Roma | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 |
10 | Como | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
11 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 7 |
12 | Bologna | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 7 |
13 | Fiorentina | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 6 |
15 | Parma | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 5 |
16 | Lecce | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 5 |
17 | Genoa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 5 |
18 | VeneziaVenezia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 4 |
19 | Monza | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 |
20 | CagliariCagliari | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 2 |
> Serie A Full Table |