Serie A | Gameweek 4
Sep 16, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Genoa2 - 2Napoli
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Torino 1-0 Genoa
Sunday, September 3 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Sunday, September 3 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 1-2 Lazio
Saturday, September 2 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Saturday, September 2 at 7.45pm in Serie A
We said: Genoa 1-3 Napoli
Osimhen could be back among the goals for a Napoli side keen to get back to winning ways after losing to Lazio before the hiatus, leaving Genoa to wait for their first home win since returning to the league. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 55.14%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 20.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.2%) and 1-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Genoa win it was 1-0 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Genoa | Draw | Napoli |
20.93% ( 0.02) | 23.93% ( 0) | 55.14% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 50.25% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
