Serie A | Gameweek 6
Sep 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Napoli4 - 1Udinese
We said: Napoli 1-0 Udinese
Lacking both the rhythm and spark of last season, Napoli are no longer the formidable force that swept aside all-comers up and down the Italian peninsula. They should, though, have enough in the tank to take care of goal-shy and injury-ravaged opponents on Wednesday; forcing Udinese to wait a little longer for an elusive first victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 64.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 15.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Udinese |
64.29% ( 0.59) | 20.54% ( -0.15) | 15.17% ( -0.44) |
| Both teams to score 50.08% ( -0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
