PSG
2 - 1
Arsenal

PSG (3) 2-1 (1) Arsenal: Gunners set new unwanted club streak following Champions League elimination

Arsenal's Declan Rice and Riccardo Calafiori look on dejected on May 7, 2025

Arsenal set a new unwanted club record following their elimination from the Champions League at the hands of Paris Saint-Germain in France this evening.

PSG (3) 2-1 (1) Arsenal: Lighthearted Luis Enrique jokes about the perceptions of his side following Champions League semi-final victory

Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) manager Luis Enrique pictured on February 23, 2025

Luis Enrique jokes that his Paris Saint-Germain side come from the "league of farmers" following their Champions League semi-final success over Arsenal.

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Strasbourg 2-1 PSG
Saturday, May 3 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Arsenal

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Arsenal 1-2 Bournemouth
Saturday, May 3 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 2-1 Arsenal (PSG win 3-1 on aggregate)

Liverpool proved it can be done, but the Reds did not win at the Parc des Princes without a once-in-a-lifetime goalkeeping display from Alisson Becker, and an Arsenal side who are so often incapable of holding onto leads will surely not repeat that Arne Slot trick in Paris. There is no downplaying the importance of Partey's return and possible absence of Dembele, but as Arsenal go on the offensive, PSG's scintillating wide men can exploit any gaps that open up and move one step closer to a coveted European crown. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 52.38%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 24.72% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 1-2 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Arsenal
52.38% ( 1.2)	22.89% ( -0.12)	24.72% ( -1.08)

Both teams to score 58.43% (

-0.71)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.16% (

-0.43)

41.84% (

0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.75% (

-0.43)

64.24% (

0.43)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.97% (

0.27)

16.02% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.63% (

0.49)

45.36% (

-0.49)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.58% (

-1.08)

30.41% (

1.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.38% (

-1.3)

66.61% (

1.3)

Score Analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 52.38%

Arsenal 24.72%

Draw 22.89%

Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Arsenal
2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.3) 3-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.23) 3-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.72% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.49% Total : 52.38%	1-1 @ 10.62% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.89%	1-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.2) 0-1 @ 5.8% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.98% Total : 24.72%

How you voted: PSG vs Arsenal

Paris Saint-Germain

53.3%

Draw

9.4%

Arsenal

37.3%

Head to Head

Apr 29, 2025 8pm

Semi-Finals 1st Leg

0-1

Trossard (10'), Saka (43')

Dembele (4')
Hakimi (44'), Neves (46')

Oct 1, 2024 8pm

League Stage

2-0

Havertz (20'), Saka (35')
Calafiori (76')

Ruiz (76')

Jul 28, 2018 12.35pm

Pre-season Friendlies

5-1

Ozil (13'), Lacazette (67', 71'), Holding (87'), Nketiah (94')

Nkunku (60' pen.)
Diarra (51')

Nov 23, 2016 7.45pm

Group Stage

2-2

Giroud (45' pen.), Verratti (59' og.)
Coquelin (34'), Koscielny (53')

Cavani (18'), Iwobi (77' og.)
Marquinhos (31'), Verratti (55')

Sep 13, 2016 7.45pm

Group Stage

1-1

Arsenal 2-2 Crystal Palace

Cavani (1')
Verratti (8'), Motta (92')
Verratti (94')

Sanchez (77')
Coquelin (24'), Giroud (88')
Giroud (94')

Form Guide

Arsenal 1-2 Bournemouth

Arsenal 0-1 PSG

Ipswich 0-4 Arsenal

Real Madrid 1-2 Arsenal

Arsenal 1-1 Brentford

Build-up

Paris Saint-Germain's Ousmane Dembele pictured on April 15, 2025

Arsenal given PSG Champions League hope as 33-goal star 'misses training' before semi-final second leg

Paris Saint-Germain attacker Ousmane Dembele reportedly misses team training on Thursday and is doubtful for next Wednesday's visit of Arsenal in the Champions League.

13 days ago

Arsenal's Jurrien Timber pictured on December 21, 2024

Arsenal injury, suspension list and return dates for PSG second leg: Odegaard, Timber, Calafiori latest

Sports Mole rounds up all of Arsenal's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Champions League clash with Paris Saint-Germain.

10 days ago

PSG lineup vs. Arsenal: Predicted XI for Champions League semi-final second leg as Ousmane Dembele fate confirmed

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Paris Saint-Germain could line up for Wednesday's Champions League semi-final second leg with Arsenal.

9 days ago

Arsenal's Jurrien Timber warms up on September 22, 2024

Arsenal lineup vs. PSG: Predicted XI for Champions League semi-final second leg as Jurrien Timber call made

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Arsenal could line up for Wednesday's Champions League semi-final second leg with Paris Saint-Germain.

9 days ago

Declan Rice celebrates scoring for Arsenal on April 8, 2025

PSG vs. Arsenal: Best stats ahead of Champions League semi-final second leg

Ahead of Wednesday's Champions League semi-final second leg between Paris Saint-Germain and Arsenal, Sports Mole picks out the best stats relating to the game.

9 days ago

Paris Saint-Germain's Ousmane Dembele celebrates with Fabian Ruiz and Desire Doue on February 1, 2025

PSG vs. Arsenal: Mikel Arteta concern emerges as Luis Enrique is handed major injury boost before Champions League semi-final

Paris Saint-Germain are handed a major injury boost ahead of Wednesday's Champions League semi-final second-leg tie at home to Arsenal.

Arsenal training latest: Mikel Arteta receives triple injury boost before PSG Champions League second leg

Arsenal's Jurrien Timber pictured on April 16, 2025

Arsenal receive a triple injury boost ahead of the second leg of their Champions League semi-final with Paris Saint-Germain as three players take part in training.

Arsenal could break club record but still suffer Champions League heartbreak in PSG second leg

Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta pictured on September 19, 2024

Arsenal could set a new club record but still suffer elimination from the Champions League when they face Paris Saint-Germain in Wednesday's semi-final second leg.

PSG vs. Arsenal: Mikel Arteta told "the only way" Gunners will pull off Champions League comeback

Arsenal and Mikel Arteta are told the "only way" they will beat Paris Saint-Germain and reach the Champions League final in Wednesday's semi-final second leg.

7 days ago

PSG injury news: Ousmane Dembele availability confirmed by Luis Enrique before Arsenal Champions League second leg

Luis Enrique provides the latest update on the availability of star attacker Ousmane Dembele ahead of Wednesday's Champions League semi-final second-leg showdown with Arsenal.

PSG vs. Arsenal starting lineups confirmed as 33-goal star benched in Champions League second leg

Arsenal and Paris Saint-Germain confirm their lineups for the second leg of their Champions League semi-final.