PSG7 - 0Brest
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, February 15 at 8.05pm in Ligue 1
for
We said: Paris Saint-Germain 4-0 Brest
The first-leg scoreline has already killed this tie off, but Enrique will not be taking any chances with squad selection, based on his rotation at the weekend, so PSG will be determined to get the job done as soon as possible here. For Brest, last week's result was a real blow to their confidence, and knowing no club has ever turned a tie around after a three-goal home defeat suggests their focus may already be on Strasbourg, with a respectable display all that is expected of them in this fixture. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 64.94%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Brest had a probability of 15.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.01%), while for a Brest win it was 1-2 (4.41%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Brest |
64.94% ( 0.25) | 19.36% ( -0.08) | 15.69% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 55.42% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.35% ( 0.02) | 38.65% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.05% ( 0.02) | 60.95% ( -0.02) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.81% ( 0.07) | 11.18% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 64.31% ( 0.16) | 35.69% ( -0.16) |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.4% ( -0.21) | 37.6% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.62% ( -0.21) | 74.38% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Brest |
| 2-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 7.21% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 3.95% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.93% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.73% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.26% Total : 64.94% | 1-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.21% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 19.36% | 1-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.14% Total : 15.69% |
