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PSG logo
Champions League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 5, 2025 at 8pm UK
Parc des Princes
Liverpool logo

PSG
0 - 1
Liverpool

The Match

Match Report

Sports Mole looks at the highlights, man of the match, and stats from Wednesday's Champions League clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Liverpool.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Champions League clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Liverpool.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Liverpool, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Paris Saint-Germain could line up for Wednesday's Champions League last-16 first leg against Liverpool.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Liverpool's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Champions League clash with Paris Saint-Germain.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSG 4-1 Lille
Saturday, March 1 at 8.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Liverpool 2-0 Newcastle
Wednesday, February 26 at 8.15pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 50.64%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 27.22% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.14%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawLiverpool
50.64% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 22.13% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 27.22% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 63.69% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.99% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)36.01% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.89% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)58.11% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.47% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)14.52% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.45% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)42.55% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.52% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)25.48% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.68% (0.015000000000001 0.02)60.31% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 50.64%
    Liverpool 27.22%
    Draw 22.13%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawLiverpool
2-1 @ 9.42% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 7.14% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 6.89% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 6.06% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.43% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.14% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.92% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.14% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 2% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.13% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-3 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 50.64%
1-1 @ 9.76% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.44% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 3.7% (0.004 0)
3-3 @ 1.89% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 22.13%
1-2 @ 6.67% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.06% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.46% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 3.04% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.94% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 1.58% (0.0029999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.04% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 27.22%

How you voted: PSG vs Liverpool

Paris Saint-Germain
26.6%
Draw
15.7%
Liverpool
57.7%
504
Head to Head
Nov 28, 2018 8pm
Sep 18, 2018 8pm
Build-up
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rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal281510352242855
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest28156745331251
4Chelsea28147753361749
5Manchester CityMan City28145953381547
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton28121064640646
7Aston Villa2912984145-445
8Bournemouth28128847341344
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2713594638844
10Fulham2811984138342
11Crystal Palace2810993633339
12Brentford28115124844438
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs281041455411434
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd2897123440-634
15Everton2871293135-433
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2796123247-1533
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2865173857-1923
18Ipswich TownIpswich2838172658-3217
19Leicester CityLeicester2845192562-3717
20Southampton2823232068-489


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