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PSG logo
Champions League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 5, 2025 at 8pm UK
Parc des Princes
Liverpool logo

PSG
0 - 1
Liverpool


Marquinhos (38')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Elliott (87')
van Dijk (70')

The Match

Match Report

Sports Mole looks at the highlights, man of the match, and stats from Wednesday's Champions League clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Liverpool.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Champions League clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Liverpool.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Liverpool, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Paris Saint-Germain could line up for Wednesday's Champions League last-16 first leg against Liverpool.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Liverpool's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Champions League clash with Paris Saint-Germain.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSG 4-1 Lille
Saturday, March 1 at 8.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Liverpool 2-0 Newcastle
Wednesday, February 26 at 8.15pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 50.64%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 27.22% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.14%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawLiverpool
50.64% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 22.13% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 27.22% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 63.69% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.99% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)36.01% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.89% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)58.11% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.47% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)14.52% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.45% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)42.55% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.52% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)25.48% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.68% (0.015000000000001 0.02)60.31% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 50.64%
    Liverpool 27.22%
    Draw 22.13%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawLiverpool
2-1 @ 9.42% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 7.14% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 6.89% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 6.06% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.43% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.14% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.92% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.14% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 2% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.13% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-3 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 50.64%
1-1 @ 9.76% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.44% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 3.7% (0.004 0)
3-3 @ 1.89% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 22.13%
1-2 @ 6.67% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.06% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.46% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 3.04% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.94% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 1.58% (0.0029999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.04% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 27.22%

How you voted: PSG vs Liverpool

Paris Saint-Germain
Draw
Liverpool
Paris Saint-Germain
26.6%
Draw
15.7%
Liverpool
57.7%
504
Head to Head
Nov 28, 2018 8pm
Sep 18, 2018 8pm
Build-up
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rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool33247275314479
2Arsenal341813363293467
3Manchester CityMan City34187966432361
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest33186953391460
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331851062441859
6Chelsea33169858401857
7Aston Villa3416995449557
8Bournemouth3313101052401249
9Fulham33139114845348
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton33121295353048
11Brentford33137135650646
12Crystal Palace341112114347-445
13Everton33814113440-638
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd33108153846-838
15Wolverhampton WanderersWolves33115174861-1338
16Tottenham HotspurSpurs331141861511037
17West Ham UnitedWest Ham3399153755-1836
18Ipswich TownIpswich3349203371-3821
19Leicester CityLeicester3346232773-4618
20Southampton3325262478-5411


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