Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 9, 2025 at 8pm UK
Parc des Princes
PSG3 - 1Aston Villa
The Match
Match Report
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia and Desire Doue light up the Champions League on Wednesday night, leading Paris Saint-Germain to a 3-1 first-leg victory over Aston Villa.
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Champions League clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Aston Villa.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Paris Saint-Germain could line up for Wednesday's Champions League clash with Aston Villa.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: PSG 1-0 Angers
Saturday, April 5 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, April 5 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Goals
for
for
80
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-1 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, April 5 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Saturday, April 5 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Goals
for
for
46
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 66.66%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 15.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.34%) and 1-0 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.23%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 1-2 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Aston Villa |
66.66% ( -0) | 18.2% ( 0) | 15.14% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 58.39% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.82% ( -0) | 34.18% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.93% ( -0) | 56.07% ( 0.01) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.49% | 9.51% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 68.12% ( -0) | 31.88% ( 0.01) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.53% ( 0) | 35.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.77% ( 0) | 72.24% |
| Score Analysis |
Paris Saint-Germain 66.66%
Aston Villa 15.14%
Draw 18.2%
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 2-1 @ 9.68% 2-0 @ 9.34% 1-0 @ 7.94% ( 0)3-1 @ 7.59% 3-0 @ 7.32% ( -0)4-1 @ 4.47% 4-0 @ 4.31% 3-2 @ 3.93% 4-2 @ 2.31% 5-1 @ 2.1% ( -0)5-0 @ 2.03% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 4.56% Total : 66.66% | 1-1 @ 8.23% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.02% 0-0 @ 3.37% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 0.23% Total : 18.2% | 1-2 @ 4.26% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.5% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.81% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.73% 1-3 @ 1.47% ( 0)Other @ 2.36% Total : 15.14% |
How you voted: PSG vs Aston Villa
Paris Saint-Germain
69.5%Draw
10.3%Aston Villa
20.3%370
Form Guide
Build-up
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