Champions League | League Stage
Oct 1, 2024 at 8pm UK
Emirates Stadium
Arsenal2 - 0PSG
The Match
Match Report
First-half goals from Kai Havertz and Bukayo Saka help Arsenal to a 2-0 home win over Paris Saint-Germain in the Champions League.
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's Champions League clash between Arsenal and Paris Saint-Germain.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Arsenal and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Arsenal could line up for Tuesday's Champions League league phase clash with Paris Saint-Germain.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up all of Arsenal's injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's Champions League clash with Paris Saint-Germain.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Arsenal 4-2 Leicester
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in Premier League
Goals
for
for
12
Last Game: PSG 3-1 Rennes
Friday, September 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Friday, September 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Goals
for
for
20
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 46.87%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
46.87% ( -0.05) | 23.59% ( 0.02) | 29.54% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 60.22% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.64% ( -0.05) | 41.36% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.24% ( -0.05) | 63.75% ( 0.05) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.11% ( -0.04) | 17.89% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.33% ( -0.07) | 48.67% ( 0.07) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.34% | 26.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.1% ( -0) | 61.9% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
Arsenal 46.87%
Paris Saint-Germain 29.54%
Draw 23.58%
| Arsenal | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 9.34% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.06% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.36% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.05% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.31% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.52% ( -0)Other @ 3.74% Total : 46.87% | 1-1 @ 10.84% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.58% | 1-2 @ 7.17% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.3% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.16% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.84% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 3.13% Total : 29.54% |
How you voted: Arsenal vs PSG
Arsenal
71.3%Draw
17.3%Paris Saint-Germain
11.4%613
Form Guide
Build-up
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