MX23RW : Monday, March 10 18:34:23| >> :60:1899:1899:
Liverpool logo
Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 11, 2025 at 8pm UK
Anfield
PSG logo

Liverpool
vs.
PSG

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Liverpool and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Liverpool could line up for Tuesday's Champions League last-16 second leg with Paris Saint-Germain.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Liverpool's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's Champions League clash with Paris Saint-Germain.

Form, Standings, Stats

We say: Liverpool 1-3 Paris Saint-Germain (a.e.t, PSG win 3-2 on aggregate)

PSG's crop were allegedly left surprised at the level of Liverpool's performance in midweek, and while Anfield on Champions League nights can prove intimidating for any all foes, the Kop may be silenced on Tuesday. Slot's side were nothing if not mediocre in the first half of their Southampton success and needed two Salah spot kicks to bail them out in the second half, but do not expect PSG to make similar mistakes in their own penalty area. As Enrique is also blessed with a fully-fit squad and could afford to make numerous changes at the weekend, the visitors' refreshed options should rectify their first-leg attacking mistakes against their leggy visitors, and PSG therefore have our vote to progress at the end of a 120-minute marathon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Liverpool win with a probability of 48.04%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain has a probability of 28.09% and a draw has a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain win is 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.13%).

Result
LiverpoolDrawParis Saint-Germain
48.04% (3.178 3.18) 23.87% (-0.794 -0.79) 28.09% (-2.385 -2.39)
Both teams to score 58.22% (1.155 1.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.45% (2.215 2.22)43.54% (-2.217 -2.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.06% (2.14 2.14)65.94% (-2.143 -2.14)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.72% (2.208 2.21)18.27% (-2.209 -2.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.66% (3.627 3.63)49.33% (-3.628 -3.63)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.24% (-0.526 -0.53)28.76% (0.524 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.4% (-0.659 -0.66)64.6% (0.65799999999999 0.66)
Score Analysis
    Liverpool 48.04%
    Paris Saint-Germain 28.09%
    Draw 23.87%
LiverpoolDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 9.46% (0.268 0.27)
1-0 @ 8.93% (-0.238 -0.24)
2-0 @ 7.59% (0.322 0.32)
3-1 @ 5.36% (0.501 0.5)
3-0 @ 4.3% (0.459 0.46)
3-2 @ 3.34% (0.268 0.27)
4-1 @ 2.28% (0.352 0.35)
4-0 @ 1.83% (0.305 0.31)
4-2 @ 1.42% (0.201 0.2)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 48.04%
1-1 @ 11.13% (-0.46 -0.46)
2-2 @ 5.9% (0.082 0.08)
0-0 @ 5.26% (-0.528 -0.53)
3-3 @ 1.39% (0.092 0.09)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.87%
1-2 @ 6.94% (-0.397 -0.4)
0-1 @ 6.55% (-0.765 -0.77)
0-2 @ 4.08% (-0.544 -0.54)
1-3 @ 2.88% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 1.7% (-0.254 -0.25)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 28.09%

Who will win Tuesday's Champions League clash between Liverpool and PSG?

Liverpool
Draw
Paris Saint-Germain
Liverpool
57.5%
Draw
8.5%
Paris Saint-Germain
34.0%
153
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2025 8pm
Round of 16 1st Leg
PSG
0-1
Liverpool

Marquinhos (38')
Elliott (87')
van Dijk (70')
Nov 28, 2018 8pm
Sep 18, 2018 8pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal281510352242855
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest28156745331251
4Chelsea28147753361749
5Manchester CityMan City28145953381547
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton28121064640646
7Aston Villa2912984145-445
8Bournemouth28128847341344
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2713594638844
10Fulham2811984138342
11Crystal Palace2810993633339
12Brentford28115124844438
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs281041455411434
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd2897123440-634
15Everton2871293135-433
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2796123247-1533
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2865173857-1923
18Ipswich TownIpswich2838172658-3217
19Leicester CityLeicester2845192562-3717
20Southampton2823232068-489


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