Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 5, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Red Bull Arena
RB Leipzig3 - 1Celtic
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: RB Leipzig 4-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, October 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, October 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Celtic 2-1 Motherwell
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Goals
for
for
27
We said: RB Leipzig 2-1 Celtic
Both sides will be aware that defeat on Wednesday would significantly hinder their chances of progression to the Champions League knockout rounds. The potential absence of key defender Carter-Vickers would be a blow for Celtic, but even if the American is fit to feature, we can see Leipzig edging past their Glaswegian counterparts to claim all three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 39.67%. A win for Celtic had a probability of 36.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.62%) and 2-0 (5.89%). The likeliest Celtic win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Celtic |
39.67% ( 0.11) | 24.23% ( 0) | 36.09% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 60.48% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
