Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 82.83%. A draw had a probability of 11.5% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 5.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.74%) and 1-0 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.47%), while for a Motherwell win it was 0-1 (1.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
Result | ||
Celtic | Draw | Motherwell |
82.83% ( -0.05) | 11.55% ( 0.02) | 5.62% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 44.76% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.29% ( 0.06) | 31.7% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.78% ( 0.07) | 53.21% ( -0.08) |
Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.37% ( 0) | 5.63% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
78.18% ( 0.01) | 21.82% ( -0.01) |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
47.43% ( 0.15) | 52.57% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.62% ( 0.1) | 86.37% ( -0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Celtic | Draw | Motherwell |
2-0 @ 12.24% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 11.74% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 5.44% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 3.13% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 1.5% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) 7-0 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 3.04% Total : 82.81% | 1-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.58% Total : 11.55% | 0-1 @ 1.9% ( 0) 1-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.96% Total : 5.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 23 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 64 | 11 | 53 | 60 |
2 | RangersRangers | 23 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 44 | 18 | 26 | 47 |
3 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 37 |
4 | Aberdeen | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 35 |
5 | Motherwell | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 31 |
6 | Hibernian | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 29 |
7 | Dundee | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 27 |
8 | St Mirren | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 27 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 25 |
10 | Ross County | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 25 |
11 | Hearts | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 24 |
12 | St Johnstone | 23 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 25 | 47 | -22 | 15 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |