Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Sep 14, 2022 at 5.45pm UK

Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego

Shakhtar
1 - 1
Celtic

Mudryk (29')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Bondarenko (10' og.)
Jenz (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Shakhtar Donetsk and Celtic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shakhtar Donetsk

Last Six:

Last Game: Shakhtar 2-1 Chornomorets
Saturday, September 10 at 3pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Kolos Kovalivka	4	4	10
2	Shakhtar Donetsk	4	3	10
3	Dnipro-1	3	8	9

Celtic

Last Six:

Last Game: Celtic 0-3 Real Madrid
Tuesday, September 6 at 8pm in Champions League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Celtic	6	24	18
2	Rangers	6	7	13
3	Aberdeen	6	6	10

We said: Shakhtar Donetsk 1-2 Celtic

We expect to see a reaction from the visitors, who produced some excellent football at times despite ultimately falling short against Real Madrid. This match is essentially being played on neutral territory, which could help Postecoglou's side settle down and play their usual slick style of play, especially with Shakhtar unlikely to reproduce yet another remarkable performance. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 58.7%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 18.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.1%) and 1-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Shakhtar Donetsk win it was 1-0 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.

Result
Shakhtar Donetsk	Draw	Celtic
18.24% ( -0.1)	23.06% ( 0.02)	58.7% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 48.6% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.62% (

-0.23)

50.38% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.68% (

-0.2)

72.32% (

0.2)

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.45% (

-0.25)

41.55% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.96% (

-0.22)

78.04% (

0.22)

Celtic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.14% (

-0.05)

16.85% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.14% (

-0.09)

46.86% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Shakhtar Donetsk 18.24%

Celtic 58.69%

Draw 23.06%

Shakhtar Donetsk	Draw	Celtic
1-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 4.81% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.92% Total : 18.24%	1-1 @ 10.95% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.82% Total : 23.06%	0-1 @ 12.46% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 11.1% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 9.75% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 6.59% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 5.79% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 2.93% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.58% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.05% ( 0) 1-5 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.86% Total : 58.69%