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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
11 | Augsburg | 6 | -6 | 6 |
12 | RB Leipzig | 5 | -3 | 5 |
13 | Stuttgart | 5 | -1 | 4 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Freiburg | 5 | 5 | 12 |
2 | Borussia Dortmund | 5 | 4 | 12 |
3 | Bayern Munich | 5 | 14 | 11 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 47.4%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.7%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 2-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
RB Leipzig | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
29.46% ( 0) | 23.14% ( 0.01) | 47.4% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 61.82% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.76% ( -0.02) | 39.23% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.43% ( -0.02) | 61.56% ( 0.03) |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.35% ( -0.01) | 25.64% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.46% ( -0.01) | 60.54% ( 0.01) |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.13% ( -0.01) | 16.86% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.12% ( -0.02) | 46.88% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
RB Leipzig | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 7.13% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.23% 3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.82% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.44% Total : 29.46% | 1-1 @ 10.47% 2-2 @ 6.35% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.71% ( -0) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.13% | 1-2 @ 9.32% 0-1 @ 7.7% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.85% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.53% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.06% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.77% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.46% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.81% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.68% ( -0) Other @ 4.22% Total : 47.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 13 | 34 | 36 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 37 | 21 | 16 | 32 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 25 |
6 | Werder Bremen | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Freiburg | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 24 |
9 | Stuttgart | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
11 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 8 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 35 | -22 | 6 |
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