Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 28, 2021 at 6pm UK
Bolshaya Sportivnaya Arena
Sheriff Tiraspol3 - 1Alashkert
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheriff Tiraspol win with a probability of 46.62%. A win for Alashkert FC had a probability of 28.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheriff Tiraspol win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Alashkert FC win was 0-1 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sheriff Tiraspol would win this match.
Result | ||
Sheriff Tiraspol | Draw | Alashkert FC |
46.62% | 24.55% | 28.83% |
Both teams to score 56.43% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |