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Champions League | Third Qualifying Round
Aug 6, 2024 at 7pm UK
 

1-1

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Sparta Prague and FCSB, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sparta Prague 2-0 Dukla Prague
Friday, August 2 at 7pm in Czech Liga
Next Game: Slovan Bratislava vs. APOEL
Wednesday, August 7 at 7.30pm in Champions League
Last Game: M. Tel Aviv 0-1 FCSB
Wednesday, July 31 at 7pm in Champions League
Next Game: Slovan Bratislava vs. APOEL
Wednesday, August 7 at 7.30pm in Champions League

We said: Sparta Prague 2-0 FCSB

Although FCSB are capable goalscorers, they only progressed to the current stage of the competition because of a late winner, and they could struggle to find the back of the net again on Tuesday. Additionally, if Sparta's strong performances against Shamrock Rovers are anything to go by, then the hosts could come into the second leg with a sizeable advantage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 45.15%. A win for had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%).

Result
Draw
45.15%25.03%29.81%
Both teams to score 55.44%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.28%47.71%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.09%69.91%
Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.84%21.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.98%54.02%
Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.32%29.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.27%65.73%
Score Analysis
    45.15%
    29.81%
    Draw 25.03%
Draw
1-0 @ 9.75%
2-1 @ 9.2%
2-0 @ 7.57%
3-1 @ 4.76%
3-0 @ 3.92%
3-2 @ 2.89%
4-1 @ 1.85%
4-0 @ 1.52%
4-2 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 45.15%
1-1 @ 11.84%
0-0 @ 6.28%
2-2 @ 5.59%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.03%
0-1 @ 7.63%
1-2 @ 7.2%
0-2 @ 4.63%
1-3 @ 2.91%
2-3 @ 2.26%
0-3 @ 1.88%
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 29.81%

How you voted: Sparta Prague vs FCSB

Sparta Prague
75.0%
Draw
16.7%
FCSB
8.3%
12
rhs 2.0
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19Southampton300315-40
20Everton3003210-80


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