We said: Shamrock Rovers 1-3 Sparta Prague
Shamrock Rovers struggled to hold onto the lead against Vikingur, and if they repeat their second leg performance in this round, then they will no doubt struggle once again.
Additionally, considering the Irish champions have performed relatively poorly in their domestic league this season, Sparta Prague could take advantage in Europe on Tuesday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 38.91%. A win for Sparta Prague had a probability of 36.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest Sparta Prague win was 1-2 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sparta Prague would win this match.