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Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 12, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stadion Kraj Bistrice
Ludogorets

Sutjeska Niksic
0 - 1
Ludogorets


Drincic (38'), Krstovic (63')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Soteriou (53')
Despodov (29'), Cafumana (43'), Tekpetey (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Sutjeska Niksic and Ludogorets Razgrad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Ludogorets 2-0 Sutjeska Niksic
Tuesday, July 5 at 6.45pm in Champions League
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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Ludogorets 2-0 Sutjeska Niksic
Tuesday, July 5 at 6.45pm in Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

We said: Sutjeska Niksic 0-1 Ludogorets Razgrad (Ludogorets win 3-0 on aggregate)

Sutjeska will have enjoyed a longer recovery period for this contest than Ludogorets, but Simundza's side have started the season as they mean to go on, and momentum is firmly on their side. Simundza also has a wealth of attacking options ready to make the difference if fatigue comes into play, and we are backing the Eagles to cruise into round two with another clean sheet against their goal-shy hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 41.2%. A win for Sutjeska Niksic had a probability of 33.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Sutjeska Niksic win was 1-0 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Ludogorets Razgrad in this match.

Result
Sutjeska NiksicDrawLudogorets Razgrad
33.01% (0.009999999999998 0.01) 25.79% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 41.2% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Both teams to score 54.35% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.23% (0.012999999999998 0.01)49.77% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.23% (0.013000000000002 0.01)71.77% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Sutjeska Niksic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.44% (0.013000000000005 0.01)28.56% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.64% (0.015000000000001 0.02)64.36% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)
Ludogorets Razgrad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.08% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)23.92% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)58.14% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Sutjeska Niksic 33.01%
    Ludogorets Razgrad 41.2%
    Draw 25.79%
Sutjeska NiksicDrawLudogorets Razgrad
1-0 @ 8.56% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-1 @ 7.67% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 5.36% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 3.21% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.24%
4-1 @ 1% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 33.01%
1-1 @ 12.24%
0-0 @ 6.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.49% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.79%
0-1 @ 9.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 8.76%
0-2 @ 6.99% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 4.18%
0-3 @ 3.33% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.62%
1-4 @ 1.49%
0-4 @ 1.19%
2-4 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 41.2%

How you voted: Sutjeska Niksic vs Ludogorets

Sutjeska Niksic
5.9%
Draw
11.8%
Ludogorets Razgrad
82.4%
17
Head to Head
Jul 5, 2022 6.45pm
Ludogorets
2-0
Sutjeska Niksic
Santana (74'), Tissera (90+1')
Cicinho (81')

Matanovic (20')
rhs 2.0
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