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Championship | Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Leeds logo

Birmingham
1 - 0
Leeds

Jutkiewicz (90+1' pen.)
Ruddy (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ampadu (22'), Byram (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Birmingham City 1-1 Leeds United

Leeds United do still have plenty of quality in their squad, but mood in the camp may have taken a big hit, and playing with a weakened side away at a Birmingham City team who are full of optimism with a new-look XI, we do not see the newly-relegated side taking all three points and instead opt for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 45.4%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 28.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (8.31%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawLeeds United
28.35% (-0.052 -0.05) 26.24% (0.068999999999999 0.07) 45.4% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.73% (-0.243 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.56% (-0.3 -0.3)53.44% (0.297 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.03% (-0.254 -0.25)74.96% (0.25 0.25)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.28% (-0.196 -0.2)33.71% (0.193 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.63% (-0.214 -0.21)70.37% (0.21199999999999 0.21)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.53% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14)23.47% (0.139 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.51% (-0.20200000000001 -0.2)57.48% (0.199 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 28.35%
    Leeds United 45.4%
    Draw 26.24%
Birmingham CityDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 8.6% (0.055 0.05)
2-1 @ 6.78% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.68% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 2.46% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.78% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.7% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 28.35%
1-1 @ 12.46% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.91% (0.092 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.24%
0-1 @ 11.46% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 9.04% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 8.31% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.37% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-3 @ 4.02% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.37% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.58% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.46% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 45.4%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Leeds

Birmingham City
41.4%
Draw
24.1%
Leeds United
34.5%
29
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 25
Birmingham
4-5
Leeds
Bellingham (27'), Jutkiewicz (61', 91'), Bela (83')
Gardner (39'), Harding (48'), Mrabti (62'), Jutkiewicz (63'), Montero (92')
Costa (15'), Harrison (21'), Ayling (69'), Dallas (84'), Harding (94' og.)
Casilla (71'), Nketiah (73'), Ayling (88')
Oct 19, 2019 3pm
Apr 6, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 40
Birmingham
1-0
Leeds
Adams (29')
Dean (48')

Alioski (30'), Jansson (76'), Hernandez (83')
Sep 22, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 9
Leeds
1-2
Birmingham
Alioski (85')
Saiz (57'), Forshaw (90')
Adams (8', 29')
Gardner (41'), Morrison (67'), Kieftenbeld (79'), Pedersen (84')
Dec 30, 2017 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom7511125716
2Sunderland7502146815
3Blackburn RoversBlackburn7430146815
4Burnley7421134914
5Leeds UnitedLeeds7421124814
6Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd743093613
7Watford74121210213
8Middlesbrough732285311
9Norwich CityNorwich7322119211
10Swansea CitySwansea631274310
11Oxford UnitedOxford Utd7313108210
12Hull City72329819
13Derby CountyDerby7304101009
14Millwall7223121028
15Plymouth ArgylePlymouth7223811-38
16Bristol City6222812-48
17Queens Park RangersQPR7142811-37
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds7214914-57
19Luton TownLuton7214611-57
20Stoke CityStoke7205411-76
21Coventry CityCoventry7124611-55
22Preston North EndPreston7124412-85
23Portsmouth7043713-64
24Cardiff CityCardiff7016217-151


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