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Championship | Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Leeds logo

Birmingham
1 - 0
Leeds

Jutkiewicz (90+1' pen.)
Ruddy (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ampadu (22'), Byram (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Birmingham City 1-1 Leeds United

Leeds United do still have plenty of quality in their squad, but mood in the camp may have taken a big hit, and playing with a weakened side away at a Birmingham City team who are full of optimism with a new-look XI, we do not see the newly-relegated side taking all three points and instead opt for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 45.4%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 28.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (8.31%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawLeeds United
28.35% (-0.052 -0.05) 26.24% (0.068999999999999 0.07) 45.4% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.73% (-0.243 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.56% (-0.3 -0.3)53.44% (0.297 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.03% (-0.254 -0.25)74.96% (0.25 0.25)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.28% (-0.196 -0.2)33.71% (0.193 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.63% (-0.214 -0.21)70.37% (0.21199999999999 0.21)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.53% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14)23.47% (0.139 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.51% (-0.20200000000001 -0.2)57.48% (0.199 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 28.35%
    Leeds United 45.4%
    Draw 26.24%
Birmingham CityDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 8.6% (0.055 0.05)
2-1 @ 6.78% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.68% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 2.46% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.78% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.7% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 28.35%
1-1 @ 12.46% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.91% (0.092 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.24%
0-1 @ 11.46% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 9.04% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 8.31% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.37% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-3 @ 4.02% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.37% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.58% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.46% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 45.4%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Leeds

Birmingham City
41.4%
Draw
24.1%
Leeds United
34.5%
29
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 25
Birmingham
4-5
Leeds
Bellingham (27'), Jutkiewicz (61', 91'), Bela (83')
Gardner (39'), Harding (48'), Mrabti (62'), Jutkiewicz (63'), Montero (92')
Costa (15'), Harrison (21'), Ayling (69'), Dallas (84'), Harding (94' og.)
Casilla (71'), Nketiah (73'), Ayling (88')
Oct 19, 2019 3pm
Apr 6, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 40
Birmingham
1-0
Leeds
Adams (29')
Dean (48')

Alioski (30'), Jansson (76'), Hernandez (83')
Sep 22, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 9
Leeds
1-2
Birmingham
Alioski (85')
Saiz (57'), Forshaw (90')
Adams (8', 29')
Gardner (41'), Morrison (67'), Kieftenbeld (79'), Pedersen (84')
Dec 30, 2017 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds28178353193459
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley28151123692756
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
16Millwall28810102726134
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2878133651-1529
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


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