We said: Birmingham City 1-1 Leeds United
Leeds United do still have plenty of quality in their squad, but mood in the camp may have taken a big hit, and playing with a weakened side away at a Birmingham City team who are full of optimism with a new-look XI, we do not see the newly-relegated side taking all three points and instead opt for a share of the spoils.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 45.4%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 28.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (8.31%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.