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Championship | Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Leeds logo

Birmingham
1 - 0
Leeds

Jutkiewicz (90+1' pen.)
Ruddy (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ampadu (22'), Byram (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Birmingham City 1-1 Leeds United

Leeds United do still have plenty of quality in their squad, but mood in the camp may have taken a big hit, and playing with a weakened side away at a Birmingham City team who are full of optimism with a new-look XI, we do not see the newly-relegated side taking all three points and instead opt for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 45.4%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 28.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (8.31%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawLeeds United
28.35% (-0.052 -0.05) 26.24% (0.068999999999999 0.07) 45.4% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.73% (-0.243 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.56% (-0.3 -0.3)53.44% (0.297 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.03% (-0.254 -0.25)74.96% (0.25 0.25)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.28% (-0.196 -0.2)33.71% (0.193 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.63% (-0.214 -0.21)70.37% (0.21199999999999 0.21)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.53% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14)23.47% (0.139 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.51% (-0.20200000000001 -0.2)57.48% (0.199 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 28.35%
    Leeds United 45.4%
    Draw 26.24%
Birmingham CityDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 8.6% (0.055 0.05)
2-1 @ 6.78% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.68% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 2.46% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.78% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.7% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 28.35%
1-1 @ 12.46% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.91% (0.092 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.24%
0-1 @ 11.46% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 9.04% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 8.31% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.37% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-3 @ 4.02% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.37% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.58% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.46% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 45.4%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Leeds

Birmingham City
41.4%
Draw
24.1%
Leeds United
34.5%
29
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 25
Birmingham
4-5
Leeds
Bellingham (27'), Jutkiewicz (61', 91'), Bela (83')
Gardner (39'), Harding (48'), Mrabti (62'), Jutkiewicz (63'), Montero (92')
Costa (15'), Harrison (21'), Ayling (69'), Dallas (84'), Harding (94' og.)
Casilla (71'), Nketiah (73'), Ayling (88')
Oct 19, 2019 3pm
Apr 6, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 40
Birmingham
1-0
Leeds
Adams (29')
Dean (48')

Alioski (30'), Jansson (76'), Hernandez (83')
Sep 22, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 9
Leeds
1-2
Birmingham
Alioski (85')
Saiz (57'), Forshaw (90')
Adams (8', 29')
Gardner (41'), Morrison (67'), Kieftenbeld (79'), Pedersen (84')
Dec 30, 2017 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1695226121432
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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