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Championship | Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Leeds logo

Birmingham
1 - 0
Leeds

Jutkiewicz (90+1' pen.)
Ruddy (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ampadu (22'), Byram (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Birmingham City 1-1 Leeds United

Leeds United do still have plenty of quality in their squad, but mood in the camp may have taken a big hit, and playing with a weakened side away at a Birmingham City team who are full of optimism with a new-look XI, we do not see the newly-relegated side taking all three points and instead opt for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 45.4%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 28.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (8.31%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawLeeds United
28.35% (-0.052 -0.05) 26.24% (0.068999999999999 0.07) 45.4% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.73% (-0.243 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.56% (-0.3 -0.3)53.44% (0.297 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.03% (-0.254 -0.25)74.96% (0.25 0.25)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.28% (-0.196 -0.2)33.71% (0.193 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.63% (-0.214 -0.21)70.37% (0.21199999999999 0.21)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.53% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14)23.47% (0.139 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.51% (-0.20200000000001 -0.2)57.48% (0.199 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 28.35%
    Leeds United 45.4%
    Draw 26.24%
Birmingham CityDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 8.6% (0.055 0.05)
2-1 @ 6.78% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.68% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 2.46% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.78% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.7% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 28.35%
1-1 @ 12.46% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.91% (0.092 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.24%
0-1 @ 11.46% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 9.04% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 8.31% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.37% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-3 @ 4.02% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.37% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.58% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.46% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 45.4%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Leeds

Birmingham City
41.4%
Draw
24.1%
Leeds United
34.5%
29
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 25
Birmingham
4-5
Leeds
Bellingham (27'), Jutkiewicz (61', 91'), Bela (83')
Gardner (39'), Harding (48'), Mrabti (62'), Jutkiewicz (63'), Montero (92')
Costa (15'), Harrison (21'), Ayling (69'), Dallas (84'), Harding (94' og.)
Casilla (71'), Nketiah (73'), Ayling (88')
Oct 19, 2019 3pm
Apr 6, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 40
Birmingham
1-0
Leeds
Adams (29')
Dean (48')

Alioski (30'), Jansson (76'), Hernandez (83')
Sep 22, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 9
Leeds
1-2
Birmingham
Alioski (85')
Saiz (57'), Forshaw (90')
Adams (8', 29')
Gardner (41'), Morrison (67'), Kieftenbeld (79'), Pedersen (84')
Dec 30, 2017 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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