Home > Football > Championship
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Leeds United | Draw | Cardiff City |
40.04% ( -0.02) | 26.71% ( 0.15) | 33.25% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 51.46% ( -0.5) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.49% ( -0.63) | 53.51% ( 0.63) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.97% ( -0.53) | 75.02% ( 0.53) |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.78% ( -0.3) | 26.21% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.69% ( -0.4) | 61.31% ( 0.4) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.74% ( -0.4) | 30.26% ( 0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.56% ( -0.48) | 66.43% ( 0.48) |
Score Analysis |
Leeds United | Draw | Cardiff City |
1-0 @ 10.62% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.79% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.17% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 40.04% | 1-1 @ 12.69% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.7% | 0-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 7.59% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.3% Total : 33.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 48 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 15 | 26 | 45 |
3 | Burnley | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 44 |
4 | Sunderland | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 43 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 35 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 22 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 35 |
8 | Watford | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Millwall | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 28 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Bristol City | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 26 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
16 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 18 |
23 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
> Championship Full Table |