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Championship | Gameweek 1
Aug 6, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Elland Road
Cardiff City logo

Leeds
2 - 2
Cardiff

Cooper (49'), Summerville (90+5')
Ampadu (90+3'), Summerville (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Bowler (23'), Ugbo (39')
Meite (70')

The Match

Match Report

Leeds United earn a comeback 2-2 draw with Cardiff City in Sunday's Championship opener at Elland Road.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hearts 0-1 Leeds
Sunday, July 30 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Wycombe 0-0 Cardiff
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawCardiff City
40.04% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02) 26.71% (0.148 0.15) 33.25% (-0.131 -0.13)
Both teams to score 51.46% (-0.504 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.49% (-0.63 -0.63)53.51% (0.628 0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.97% (-0.534 -0.53)75.02% (0.533 0.53)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.78% (-0.29900000000001 -0.3)26.21% (0.297 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.69% (-0.4 -0.4)61.31% (0.398 0.4)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.74% (-0.39999999999999 -0.4)30.26% (0.398 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.56% (-0.481 -0.48)66.43% (0.479 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 40.04%
    Cardiff City 33.25%
    Draw 26.7%
Leeds UnitedDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 10.62% (0.17 0.17)
2-1 @ 8.5% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.11% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.79% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.27% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 40.04%
1-1 @ 12.69% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.93% (0.193 0.19)
2-2 @ 5.08% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-3 @ 0.9% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.7%
0-1 @ 9.48% (0.129 0.13)
1-2 @ 7.59% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.67% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.02% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.26% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.02% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-4 @ 0.9% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 33.25%

How you voted: Leeds vs Cardiff

Leeds United
85.0%
Draw
10.0%
Cardiff City
5.0%
20
Head to Head
Jan 18, 2023 7.45pm
Third Round Replays
Leeds
5-2
Cardiff
Gnonto (1', 36'), Rodrigo (34'), Bamford (71', 76')
Robinson (84', 90+3')
Jan 8, 2023 2pm
Third Round
Cardiff
2-2
Leeds
Philogene-Bidace (24'), Ojo (31')
Rodrigo (65'), Perkins (90+3')
Jun 21, 2020 12pm
Dec 14, 2019 3pm
Feb 3, 2018 3pm
Leeds
1-4
Cardiff
Bamba (54' og.)
Berardi (26')
Berardi (45')
Paterson (9'), Hoilett (41'), Morrison (45'), Pilkington (88')
Madine (35'), Ralls (45'), Pilkington (79'), Grujic (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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