Championship

Championship | Gameweek 42

Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK

Stadium of Light

Sunderland
2 - 1
Birmingham

Hume (45+3'), Diallo (75')
Cirkin (16')
Cirkin (78')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Hall (29')
Bielik (34'), Colin (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sunderland

All competitions

Last Game: Cardiff 0-1 Sunderland
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Birmingham City

All competitions

Last Game: Birmingham 0-0 Stoke
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Sunderland 2-1 Birmingham City

Sunderland will be buoyed by their much-needed win at Cardiff on Monday and should be confident of beating a Birmingham side who arguably have nothing to play for in the remaining five matches. Blues have been good defensively in recent matches, but we see a slip in concentration at the Stadium of Light for the visitors in this one, ultimately leading to defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 44.38%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sunderland in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sunderland.

Result
Sunderland	Draw	Birmingham City
44.38% ( 0.13)	26.21% ( -0.02)	29.41% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 51.45% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.2% (

0.02)

52.8% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.57% (

0.02)

74.42% (

-0.02)

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.32% (

0.07)

23.68% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.2% (

0.1)

57.79% (

-0.1)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.42% (

-0.07)

32.58% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.88% (

-0.08)

69.11% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Sunderland 44.38%

Birmingham City 29.41%

Draw 26.21%

Sunderland	Draw	Birmingham City
1-0 @ 11.11% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.78% Total : 44.38%	1-1 @ 12.46% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.21%	0-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.99% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 29.41%