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Sunderland
Championship | Gameweek 42
Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK
Stadium of Light
Birmingham logo

Sunderland
2 - 1
Birmingham

Hume (45+3'), Diallo (75')
Cirkin (16')
Cirkin (78')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hall (29')
Bielik (34'), Colin (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 0-1 Sunderland
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 0-0 Stoke
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Sunderland 2-1 Birmingham City

Sunderland will be buoyed by their much-needed win at Cardiff on Monday and should be confident of beating a Birmingham side who arguably have nothing to play for in the remaining five matches. Blues have been good defensively in recent matches, but we see a slip in concentration at the Stadium of Light for the visitors in this one, ultimately leading to defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 44.38%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sunderland in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sunderland.

Result
SunderlandDrawBirmingham City
44.38% (0.13 0.13) 26.21% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 29.41% (-0.113 -0.11)
Both teams to score 51.45% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.2% (0.020000000000003 0.02)52.8% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.57% (0.016000000000002 0.02)74.42% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.32% (0.070999999999998 0.07)23.68% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.2% (0.102 0.1)57.79% (-0.102 -0.1)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.42% (-0.073000000000008 -0.07)32.58% (0.073 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.88% (-0.081 -0.08)69.11% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 44.38%
    Birmingham City 29.41%
    Draw 26.21%
SunderlandDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 11.11% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.98% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 8% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.31% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.84% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.42% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 1.55% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.38% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 44.38%
1-1 @ 12.46% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.71% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 0.9%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.21%
0-1 @ 8.65% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.99% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.85% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.61% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.81% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 29.41%

How you voted: Sunderland vs Birmingham

Sunderland
81.3%
Draw
12.5%
Birmingham City
6.3%
16
Head to Head
Nov 11, 2022 8pm
Jan 30, 2018 7.45pm
Birmingham
3-1
Sunderland
Davis (28'), Boga (44'), Gallagher (54')
N'Doye (52'), Davis (59'), Grounds (87')
Oviedo (84')
Clarke-Salter (47'), Robson (58'), Honeyman (78')
Dec 23, 2017 3pm
Aug 27, 2014 7.45pm
Round Two
Birmingham
0-3
Sunderland

Thomas (53')
Gomez (77'), Johnson (87'), Wickham (88')
Apr 16, 2011 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd39267656292783
2Leeds UnitedLeeds392312478275181
3Burnley392215253114281
4Sunderland392012756371972
5Coventry CityCoventry39178145651559
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom391318848351357
7Middlesbrough391691459491057
8Bristol City391415104942757
9Watford39158164751-453
10Norwich CityNorwich391313136154752
11Blackburn RoversBlackburn39157174241152
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds391410155460-652
13Millwall391312143740-351
14Preston North EndPreston381017113944-547
15Queens Park RangersQPR391112164553-845
16Swansea CitySwansea39129184051-1145
17Portsmouth39129184761-1445
18Stoke CityStoke391012174052-1242
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd391012174057-1742
20Hull City391011183948-941
21Cardiff CityCardiff39913174363-2040
22Derby CountyDerby38108204051-1138
23Luton TownLuton39108213560-2538
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth39713194077-3734


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