Championship

Championship | Gameweek 45

Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK

Ricoh Arena

Coventry
2 - 0
Birmingham

Eccles (3'), Gyokeres (42' pen.)

FT(HT: 2-0)

Long (49'), Mejbri (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Coventry City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Coventry City

All competitions

Last Game: Coventry 2-1 Reading
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Birmingham City

All competitions

Last Game: Birmingham 0-1 Blackpool
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Coventry City 1-1 Birmingham City

Coventry go into their final two matches of the regular season knowing their playoff fate is in their own hands - something that seemed very unlikely during their abysmal run of form in January. Birmingham have little to play for but will be followed by nearly 5,000 Bluenoses at the CBS Arena, and Eustace will make sure his men put on a good display for those travelling from the Second City. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 56.04%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 20.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.

Result
Coventry City	Draw	Birmingham City
56.04% ( -0.62)	23.38% ( 0.1)	20.59% ( 0.52)

Both teams to score 51.45% (

0.49)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.47% (

0.24)

48.54% (

-0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.34% (

0.22)

70.66% (

-0.22)

Coventry City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.86% (

-0.13)

17.14% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.63% (

-0.24)

47.37% (

0.24)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.1% (

0.69)

37.91% (

-0.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.32% (

0.66)

74.68% (

-0.65)

Score Analysis

Coventry City 56.03%

Birmingham City 20.59%

Draw 23.37%

Coventry City	Draw	Birmingham City
1-0 @ 11.45% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 10.1% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.85% Total : 56.03%	1-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.5% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.1% Total : 23.37%	0-1 @ 6.3% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.57% Total : 20.59%