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Coventry City
Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ricoh Arena
Birmingham logo

Coventry
2 - 0
Birmingham

Eccles (3'), Gyokeres (42' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-0)

Long (49'), Mejbri (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Coventry City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coventry 2-1 Reading
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 0-1 Blackpool
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Coventry City 1-1 Birmingham City

Coventry go into their final two matches of the regular season knowing their playoff fate is in their own hands - something that seemed very unlikely during their abysmal run of form in January. Birmingham have little to play for but will be followed by nearly 5,000 Bluenoses at the CBS Arena, and Eustace will make sure his men put on a good display for those travelling from the Second City. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 56.04%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 20.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.

Result
Coventry CityDrawBirmingham City
56.04% (-0.622 -0.62) 23.38% (0.102 0.1) 20.59% (0.523 0.52)
Both teams to score 51.45% (0.48699999999999 0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.47% (0.24400000000001 0.24)48.54% (-0.24 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.34% (0.223 0.22)70.66% (-0.21899999999999 -0.22)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.86% (-0.13300000000001 -0.13)17.14% (0.137 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.63% (-0.236 -0.24)47.37% (0.239 0.24)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.1% (0.689 0.69)37.91% (-0.684 -0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.32% (0.659 0.66)74.68% (-0.65499999999999 -0.65)
Score Analysis
    Coventry City 56.03%
    Birmingham City 20.59%
    Draw 23.37%
Coventry CityDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 11.45% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-0 @ 10.1% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
3-0 @ 5.94% (-0.141 -0.14)
3-1 @ 5.76% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.039 0.04)
4-0 @ 2.62% (-0.074 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.54% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.23% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.92% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 56.03%
1-1 @ 11.11% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.5% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.76% (0.086 0.09)
3-3 @ 0.9% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 23.37%
0-1 @ 6.3% (0.055 0.05)
1-2 @ 5.39% (0.121 0.12)
0-2 @ 3.06% (0.083 0.08)
1-3 @ 1.74% (0.07 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.54% (0.055 0.05)
0-3 @ 0.99% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 20.59%

How you voted: Coventry vs Birmingham

Coventry City
73.3%
Draw
23.3%
Birmingham City
3.3%
30
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
gameweek 42
Birmingham
2-4
Coventry
Pedersen (12'), Gardner (39')
Bacuna (4'), Roberts (40'), Richards (90+3'), Woods (90+5')
Sheaf (40', 45+4'), Rose (71'), O'Hare (90')
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 19
Coventry
0-0
Birmingham

Sanderson (54'), Roberts (76'), Sunjic (90+1')
Woods (82')
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
gameweek 27
Birmingham
1-1
Coventry
Bela (18' pen.)
Colin (20'), Sunjic (42'), San Jose (44')
Hamer (29')
Hamer (72')
Nov 20, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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