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Championship | Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2023 at 8pm UK
The Den
Birmingham logo

Millwall
0 - 1
Birmingham

FT(HT: 0-1)
Jutkiewicz (28')
Bielik (34'), Long (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Millwall and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 2-0 Preston
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 2-1 Birmingham
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-1 Birmingham City

Millwall face Birmingham, Wigan Athletic and Blackpool in their next three matches, and Rowett will realise his side have a good chance of securing playoff football before they welcome Blackburn Rovers to The Den on the final day. Birmingham have little to play for in terms of promotion or relegation, but a number of the Blues squad will be auditioning for a place at the club next season, and we see Eustace's battling to a point on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 51.82%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 22.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
MillwallDrawBirmingham City
51.82% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 25.51% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 22.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 47.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)54.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.98% (0.00099999999999767 0)76.02% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.86% (0.0010000000000048 0)21.14% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.01% (0.00099999999999767 0)53.99%
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)39.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)76.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 51.81%
    Birmingham City 22.67%
    Draw 25.51%
MillwallDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 12.91%
2-0 @ 10.03%
2-1 @ 9.37%
3-0 @ 5.2%
3-1 @ 4.85%
3-2 @ 2.27%
4-0 @ 2.02%
4-1 @ 1.89%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 51.81%
1-1 @ 12.05%
0-0 @ 8.31% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.37%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 25.51%
0-1 @ 7.76%
1-2 @ 5.63% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.62%
1-3 @ 1.75%
2-3 @ 1.36%
0-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 22.67%

How you voted: Millwall vs Birmingham

Millwall
69.1%
Draw
16.4%
Birmingham City
14.5%
55
Head to Head
Nov 2, 2022 7.45pm
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Birmingham
2-2
Millwall
Bacuna (47'), Taylor (79' pen.)
Roberts (52'), Taylor (54'), Sunjic (86'), Bacuna (90')
Burke (68'), Afobe (90+8')
Saville (25'), McNamara (72'), Cooper (74')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Millwall
3-1
Birmingham
Wallace (10'), Bradshaw (41'), Evans (74')
Deeney (56')
Pedersen (20'), Roberts (50')
Feb 17, 2021 7pm
Millwall
2-0
Birmingham
Wallace (3'), Thompson (75')
Romeo (78'), Woods (80')

Harper (53'), Jutkiewicz (70')
Nov 28, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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