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Championship | Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2023 at 8pm UK
The Den
Birmingham logo

Millwall
0 - 1
Birmingham

FT(HT: 0-1)
Jutkiewicz (28')
Bielik (34'), Long (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Millwall and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 2-0 Preston
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 2-1 Birmingham
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-1 Birmingham City

Millwall face Birmingham, Wigan Athletic and Blackpool in their next three matches, and Rowett will realise his side have a good chance of securing playoff football before they welcome Blackburn Rovers to The Den on the final day. Birmingham have little to play for in terms of promotion or relegation, but a number of the Blues squad will be auditioning for a place at the club next season, and we see Eustace's battling to a point on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 51.82%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 22.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
MillwallDrawBirmingham City
51.82% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 25.51% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 22.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 47.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)54.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.98% (0.00099999999999767 0)76.02% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.86% (0.0010000000000048 0)21.14% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.01% (0.00099999999999767 0)53.99%
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)39.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)76.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 51.81%
    Birmingham City 22.67%
    Draw 25.51%
MillwallDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 12.91%
2-0 @ 10.03%
2-1 @ 9.37%
3-0 @ 5.2%
3-1 @ 4.85%
3-2 @ 2.27%
4-0 @ 2.02%
4-1 @ 1.89%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 51.81%
1-1 @ 12.05%
0-0 @ 8.31% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.37%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 25.51%
0-1 @ 7.76%
1-2 @ 5.63% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.62%
1-3 @ 1.75%
2-3 @ 1.36%
0-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 22.67%

How you voted: Millwall vs Birmingham

Millwall
69.1%
Draw
16.4%
Birmingham City
14.5%
55
Head to Head
Nov 2, 2022 7.45pm
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Birmingham
2-2
Millwall
Bacuna (47'), Taylor (79' pen.)
Roberts (52'), Taylor (54'), Sunjic (86'), Bacuna (90')
Burke (68'), Afobe (90+8')
Saville (25'), McNamara (72'), Cooper (74')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Millwall
3-1
Birmingham
Wallace (10'), Bradshaw (41'), Evans (74')
Deeney (56')
Pedersen (20'), Roberts (50')
Feb 17, 2021 7pm
Millwall
2-0
Birmingham
Wallace (3'), Thompson (75')
Romeo (78'), Woods (80')

Harper (53'), Jutkiewicz (70')
Nov 28, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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