Championship

Championship | Gameweek 22

Dec 18, 2023 at 8pm UK

St. Andrew's Stadium

Birmingham
2 - 3
Leicester

James (14', 74')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Mavididi (10', 50'), Dewsbury-Hall (21')
Mavididi (10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Birmingham City

All competitions

Last Game: Cardiff 0-1 Birmingham
Wednesday, December 13 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Leicester City

All competitions

Last Game: Leicester 3-2 Millwall
Wednesday, December 13 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Birmingham City 1-3 Leicester City

Birmingham were defensively sound on Wednesday night against a woeful Cardiff attack, but dealing with Maresca's Leicester will be a different kettle of fish. The Foxes have a good opportunity to stretch their lead at the top of the division, and we feel that the visitors will do just that at St Andrew's. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 50.67%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 24.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.59%) and 0-2 (8.88%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Birmingham City	Draw	Leicester City
24.87% ( -0.75)	24.46% ( -0.2)	50.67% ( 0.95)

Both teams to score 53.38% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.39% (

0.23)

48.6% (

-0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.28% (

0.21)

70.72% (

-0.21)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.05% (

-0.51)

33.95% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.38% (

-0.55)

70.62% (

0.55)

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.81% (

0.47)

19.19% (

-0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.13% (

0.78)

50.87% (

-0.78)

Score Analysis

Birmingham City 24.87%

Leicester City 50.67%

Draw 24.45%

Birmingham City	Draw	Leicester City
1-0 @ 7.04% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 6.28% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 2.26% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.25% Total : 24.87%	1-1 @ 11.61% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.45%	0-1 @ 10.75% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 9.59% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 8.88% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 5.28% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 4.88% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.18% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 2.02% ( 0.1) 2-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.07% Total : 50.67%