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Championship | Gameweek 22
Dec 18, 2023 at 8pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Leicester logo

Birmingham
2 - 3
Leicester

James (14', 74')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Mavididi (10', 50'), Dewsbury-Hall (21')
Mavididi (10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 0-1 Birmingham
Wednesday, December 13 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Leicester 3-2 Millwall
Wednesday, December 13 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 1-3 Leicester City

Birmingham were defensively sound on Wednesday night against a woeful Cardiff attack, but dealing with Maresca's Leicester will be a different kettle of fish. The Foxes have a good opportunity to stretch their lead at the top of the division, and we feel that the visitors will do just that at St Andrew's. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 50.67%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 24.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.59%) and 0-2 (8.88%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawLeicester City
24.87% (-0.75 -0.75) 24.46% (-0.203 -0.2) 50.67% (0.952 0.95)
Both teams to score 53.38% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.39% (0.22900000000001 0.23)48.6% (-0.23 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.28% (0.209 0.21)70.72% (-0.209 -0.21)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.05% (-0.50500000000001 -0.51)33.95% (0.504 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.38% (-0.549 -0.55)70.62% (0.547 0.55)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.81% (0.473 0.47)19.19% (-0.474 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.13% (0.777 0.78)50.87% (-0.778 -0.78)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 24.87%
    Leicester City 50.67%
    Draw 24.45%
Birmingham CityDrawLeicester City
1-0 @ 7.04% (-0.166 -0.17)
2-1 @ 6.28% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-0 @ 3.8% (-0.143 -0.14)
3-1 @ 2.26% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.37% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 24.87%
1-1 @ 11.61% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 6.51% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.45%
0-1 @ 10.75% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 9.59% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
0-2 @ 8.88% (0.179 0.18)
1-3 @ 5.28% (0.112 0.11)
0-3 @ 4.88% (0.169 0.17)
2-3 @ 2.85% (0.022 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.18% (0.078 0.08)
0-4 @ 2.02% (0.098 0.1)
2-4 @ 1.18% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 50.67%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Leicester

Birmingham City
15.0%
Draw
12.1%
Leicester City
72.9%
107
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2020 1pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Birmingham
0-2
Leicester
Mar 4, 2020 7.45pm
Aug 1, 2015 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Birmingham
2-3
Leicester
Cotterill (23'), Gray (24')
Huth (59'), Drinkwater (76'), Okazaki (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd28186440182258
2Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
3Sunderland28159440221854
4Burnley27141123192253
5Middlesbrough28128846341244
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn28126103126542
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2891453324941
8Watford28125113939041
9Queens Park RangersQPR2891183235-338
10Bristol City2791083331237
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
12Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
13Coventry CityCoventry2898113737035
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2898113343-1035
15Swansea CitySwansea2897123135-434
16Preston North EndPreston2871383035-534
17Millwall27710102626031
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Cardiff CityCardiff28610123143-1228
20Derby CountyDerby2876153138-727
21Hull City2868142738-1126
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2875162947-1826
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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