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Championship
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Championship | Gameweek 22
Dec 18, 2023 at 8pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Leicester logo

Birmingham
2 - 3
Leicester

James (14', 74')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Mavididi (10', 50'), Dewsbury-Hall (21')
Mavididi (10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Birmingham City

All competitions
Last Game: Cardiff 0-1 Birmingham
Wednesday, December 13 at 7.45pm in Championship

Leicester City

All competitions
Last Game: Leicester 3-2 Millwall
Wednesday, December 13 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 1-3 Leicester City

 Birmingham were defensively sound on Wednesday night against a woeful Cardiff attack, but dealing with Maresca's Leicester will be a different kettle of fish. The Foxes have a good opportunity to stretch their lead at the top of the division, and we feel that the visitors will do just that at St Andrew's. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 50.67%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 24.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.59%) and 0-2 (8.88%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawLeicester City
24.87% (-0.75 -0.75) 24.46% (-0.203 -0.2) 50.67% (0.952 0.95)
Both teams to score 53.38% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.39% (0.22900000000001 0.23)48.6% (-0.23 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.28% (0.209 0.21)70.72% (-0.209 -0.21)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.05% (-0.50500000000001 -0.51)33.95% (0.504 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.38% (-0.549 -0.55)70.62% (0.547 0.55)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.81% (0.473 0.47)19.19% (-0.474 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.13% (0.777 0.78)50.87% (-0.778 -0.78)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 24.87%
    Leicester City 50.67%
    Draw 24.45%
Birmingham CityDrawLeicester City
1-0 @ 7.04% (-0.166 -0.17)
2-1 @ 6.28% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-0 @ 3.8% (-0.143 -0.14)
3-1 @ 2.26% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.37% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 24.87%
1-1 @ 11.61% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 6.51% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.45%
0-1 @ 10.75% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 9.59% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
0-2 @ 8.88% (0.179 0.18)
1-3 @ 5.28% (0.112 0.11)
0-3 @ 4.88% (0.169 0.17)
2-3 @ 2.85% (0.022 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.18% (0.078 0.08)
0-4 @ 2.02% (0.098 0.1)
2-4 @ 1.18% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 50.67%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Leicester

Birmingham City
15.0%
Draw
12.1%
Leicester City
72.9%
107
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2020 1pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Birmingham
0-2
Leicester
Dewsbury-Hall (53'), Albrighton (71')
Mar 4, 2020 7.45pm
Fifth Round
Leicester
1-0
Birmingham
> Match Report
Aug 1, 2015 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Birmingham
2-3
Leicester
Cotterill (23'), Gray (24')
Huth (59'), Drinkwater (76'), Okazaki (83')
> Match Report
Jan 28, 2014 7.45pm
Birmingham
1-2
Leicester
> Match Report
Aug 24, 2013 3pm
Leicester
3-2
Birmingham
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310
> Championship Full Table


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