Form, Standings, Stats
Wednesday, December 13 at 7.45pm in Championship
Wednesday, December 13 at 7.45pm in Championship
We said: Birmingham City 1-3 Leicester City
Birmingham were defensively sound on Wednesday night against a woeful Cardiff attack, but dealing with Maresca's Leicester will be a different kettle of fish. The Foxes have a good opportunity to stretch their lead at the top of the division, and we feel that the visitors will do just that at St Andrew's. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 50.67%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 24.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.59%) and 0-2 (8.88%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Birmingham City | Draw | Leicester City |
24.87% ( -0.75) | 24.46% ( -0.2) | 50.67% ( 0.95) |
| Both teams to score 53.38% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.39% ( 0.23) | 48.6% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.28% ( 0.21) | 70.72% ( -0.21) |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.05% ( -0.51) | 33.95% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.38% ( -0.55) | 70.62% ( 0.55) |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.81% ( 0.47) | 19.19% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.13% ( 0.78) | 50.87% ( -0.78) |
| Score Analysis |
| Birmingham City | Draw | Leicester City |
| 1-0 @ 7.04% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 6.28% ( -0.14)2-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 2.26% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.25% Total : 24.87% | 1-1 @ 11.61% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.45% | 0-1 @ 10.75% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 9.59% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 8.88% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 5.28% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 4.88% ( 0.17)2-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.18% ( 0.08)0-4 @ 2.02% ( 0.1)2-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.07% Total : 50.67% |
