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Championship | Gameweek 16
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Leicester logo

Middlesbrough
1 - 0
Leicester

Greenwood (83')
Crooks (42'), Howson (85'), Jones (88'), Rogers (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Vestergaard (12'), Winks (43'), Choudhury (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leicester 0-1 Leeds
Friday, November 3 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 1-2 Leicester City

Middlesbrough have struggled defensively since returning from October's international break, and the visit of the division's most-potent attack will ask plenty of questions of the Boro backline. Leicester were unable to breach a stubborn Leeds side after the Whites went ahead at the King Power, but Maresca's men should fare well against a Middlesbrough team who like to take risks offensively. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 39.43%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 36.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.17%) and 0-2 (5.65%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawLeicester City
36.69% (0.928 0.93) 23.88% (0.246 0.25) 39.43% (-1.177 -1.18)
Both teams to score 61.87% (-0.799 -0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.67% (-1.088 -1.09)40.32% (1.084 1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.3% (-1.131 -1.13)62.7% (1.126 1.13)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.98% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)22.01% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.67% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)55.33% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.33% (-1.011 -1.01)20.66% (1.006 1.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.75% (-1.614 -1.61)53.25% (1.61 1.61)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 36.69%
    Leicester City 39.43%
    Draw 23.88%
MiddlesbroughDrawLeicester City
2-1 @ 8.22% (0.151 0.15)
1-0 @ 6.88% (0.336 0.34)
2-0 @ 5.21% (0.252 0.25)
3-1 @ 4.15% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.27% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.63% (0.127 0.13)
4-1 @ 1.57% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 36.69%
1-1 @ 10.85% (0.2 0.2)
2-2 @ 6.48% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-0 @ 4.55% (0.224 0.22)
3-3 @ 1.72% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.88%
1-2 @ 8.56% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-1 @ 7.17% (0.137 0.14)
0-2 @ 5.65% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
1-3 @ 4.5% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-3 @ 3.4% (-0.153 -0.15)
0-3 @ 2.97% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-4 @ 1.77% (-0.137 -0.14)
2-4 @ 1.34% (-0.104 -0.1)
0-4 @ 1.17% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 39.43%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Leicester

Middlesbrough
11.4%
Draw
4.5%
Leicester City
84.1%
44
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2017 12.30pm
Nov 26, 2016 3pm
Leicester
2-2
Middlesbrough
Mahrez (35' pen.), Slimani (94' pen.)
Albrighton (29'), Fuchs (37'), Amartey (51'), Vardy (65')
Negredo (13', 71')
Chambers (31'), Negredo (34'), Valdes (91'), de Roon (94')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
2Sunderland1594225111431
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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