Championship

Championship | Gameweek 16

Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK

Riverside Stadium

Middlesbrough
1 - 0
Leicester

Greenwood (83')
Crooks (42'), Howson (85'), Jones (88'), Rogers (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Vestergaard (12'), Winks (43'), Choudhury (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Plymouth 3-3 Middlesbrough
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Leicester City

All competitions

Last Game: Leicester 0-1 Leeds
Friday, November 3 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Middlesbrough 1-2 Leicester City

Middlesbrough have struggled defensively since returning from October's international break, and the visit of the division's most-potent attack will ask plenty of questions of the Boro backline. Leicester were unable to breach a stubborn Leeds side after the Whites went ahead at the King Power, but Maresca's men should fare well against a Middlesbrough team who like to take risks offensively. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 39.43%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 36.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.17%) and 0-2 (5.65%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Middlesbrough	Draw	Leicester City
36.69% ( 0.93)	23.88% ( 0.25)	39.43% ( -1.18)

Both teams to score 61.87% (

-0.8)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.67% (

-1.09)

40.32% (

1.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.3% (

-1.13)

62.7% (

1.13)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.98% (

-0.02)

22.01% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.67% (

-0.02)

55.33% (

0.02)

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.33% (

-1.01)

20.66% (

1.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.75% (

-1.61)

53.25% (

1.61)

Score Analysis

Middlesbrough 36.69%

Leicester City 39.43%

Draw 23.88%

Middlesbrough	Draw	Leicester City
2-1 @ 8.22% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 6.88% ( 0.34) 2-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 4.15% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.54% Total : 36.69%	1-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 4.55% ( 0.22) 3-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.88%	1-2 @ 8.56% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 7.17% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 4.5% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.14) 2-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.1) 0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.88% Total : 39.43%