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Championship | Gameweek 16
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Leicester logo

Middlesbrough
1 - 0
Leicester

Greenwood (83')
Crooks (42'), Howson (85'), Jones (88'), Rogers (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Vestergaard (12'), Winks (43'), Choudhury (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leicester 0-1 Leeds
Friday, November 3 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 1-2 Leicester City

Middlesbrough have struggled defensively since returning from October's international break, and the visit of the division's most-potent attack will ask plenty of questions of the Boro backline. Leicester were unable to breach a stubborn Leeds side after the Whites went ahead at the King Power, but Maresca's men should fare well against a Middlesbrough team who like to take risks offensively. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 39.43%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 36.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.17%) and 0-2 (5.65%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawLeicester City
36.69% (0.928 0.93) 23.88% (0.246 0.25) 39.43% (-1.177 -1.18)
Both teams to score 61.87% (-0.799 -0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.67% (-1.088 -1.09)40.32% (1.084 1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.3% (-1.131 -1.13)62.7% (1.126 1.13)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.98% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)22.01% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.67% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)55.33% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.33% (-1.011 -1.01)20.66% (1.006 1.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.75% (-1.614 -1.61)53.25% (1.61 1.61)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 36.69%
    Leicester City 39.43%
    Draw 23.88%
MiddlesbroughDrawLeicester City
2-1 @ 8.22% (0.151 0.15)
1-0 @ 6.88% (0.336 0.34)
2-0 @ 5.21% (0.252 0.25)
3-1 @ 4.15% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.27% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.63% (0.127 0.13)
4-1 @ 1.57% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 36.69%
1-1 @ 10.85% (0.2 0.2)
2-2 @ 6.48% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-0 @ 4.55% (0.224 0.22)
3-3 @ 1.72% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.88%
1-2 @ 8.56% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-1 @ 7.17% (0.137 0.14)
0-2 @ 5.65% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
1-3 @ 4.5% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-3 @ 3.4% (-0.153 -0.15)
0-3 @ 2.97% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-4 @ 1.77% (-0.137 -0.14)
2-4 @ 1.34% (-0.104 -0.1)
0-4 @ 1.17% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 39.43%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Leicester

Middlesbrough
11.4%
Draw
4.5%
Leicester City
84.1%
44
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2017 12.30pm
Nov 26, 2016 3pm
Leicester
2-2
Middlesbrough
Mahrez (35' pen.), Slimani (94' pen.)
Albrighton (29'), Fuchs (37'), Amartey (51'), Vardy (65')
Negredo (13', 71')
Chambers (31'), Negredo (34'), Valdes (91'), de Roon (94')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds28178353193459
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley28151123692756
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
16Millwall28810102726134
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2878133651-1529
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


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