Home > Football > Championship
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 54.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 22.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.76%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-2 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
Result | ||
Sunderland | Draw | Birmingham City |
54.32% ( -0.04) | 22.9% ( 0.03) | 22.78% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 56.05% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.09% ( -0.11) | 43.91% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.7% ( -0.11) | 66.3% ( 0.11) |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.91% ( -0.05) | 16.09% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.52% ( -0.1) | 45.48% ( 0.1) |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.8% ( -0.04) | 33.2% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.19% ( -0.05) | 69.81% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Sunderland | Draw | Birmingham City |
2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.76% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.99% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.43% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.74% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.47% Total : 54.32% | 1-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.9% | 1-2 @ 5.93% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.89% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.18% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 2.34% Total : 22.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 28 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 53 | 19 | 34 | 59 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 58 |
3 | Burnley | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 56 |
4 | Sunderland | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 55 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 29 | 10 | 14 | 5 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 44 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 44 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 42 |
8 | Bristol City | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 41 |
9 | Watford | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 41 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 41 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 39 |
12 | Coventry CityCoventry | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 38 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 38 |
14 | Preston North EndPreston | 29 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 37 |
15 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 36 |
16 | Millwall | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 34 |
17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 34 |
18 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 31 |
19 | Hull City | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 29 |
20 | Stoke CityStoke | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 29 |
21 | Portsmouth | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 36 | 51 | -15 | 29 |
22 | Derby CountyDerby | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 27 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 27 | 62 | -35 | 22 |
> Championship Full Table |