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Sunderland
Championship | Gameweek 16
Nov 11, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Stadium of Light
Birmingham logo

Sunderland
3 - 1
Birmingham

Bellingham (17'), Sanderson (57' og.), Aouchiche (76')
Roberts (39'), Hume (45+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Miyoshi (30')
Laird (18'), James (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 0-0 Sunderland
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 2-2 Ipswich
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Sunderland 2-1 Birmingham City

Sunderland have struggled at the Stadium of Light at points so far this season, but the visit of an out-of-form Birmingham side represents a good chance to collect maximum points. Blues are improving slowly as the squad gets accustomed to Rooney's style of play, although we do not believe that a maiden victory for the new boss is on the cards this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 54.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 22.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.76%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-2 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
SunderlandDrawBirmingham City
54.32% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 22.9% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 22.78% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 56.05% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.09% (-0.11 -0.11)43.91% (0.112 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.7% (-0.107 -0.11)66.3% (0.10899999999999 0.11)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.91% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)16.09% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.52% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)45.48% (0.101 0.1)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.8% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)33.2% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.19% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)69.81% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 54.32%
    Birmingham City 22.78%
    Draw 22.9%
SunderlandDrawBirmingham City
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 9.76% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.92% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.99% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.43% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 3.3% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.74% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.48% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.51% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1% (-0.0059999999999999 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.91% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 54.32%
1-1 @ 10.76% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.42% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.34% (0.026 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.9%
1-2 @ 5.93% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 5.89% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.25% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.18% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.19% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 22.78%

How you voted: Sunderland vs Birmingham

Sunderland
89.5%
Draw
5.3%
Birmingham City
5.3%
19
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 42
Sunderland
2-1
Birmingham
Hume (45+3'), Diallo (75')
Hall (29')
Nov 11, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 21
Birmingham
1-2
Sunderland
Simms (25'), Diallo (49')
Jan 30, 2018 7.45pm
Birmingham
3-1
Sunderland
Davis (28'), Boga (44'), Gallagher (54')
N'Doye (52'), Davis (59'), Grounds (87')
Oviedo (84')
Clarke-Salter (47'), Robson (58'), Honeyman (78')
Dec 23, 2017 3pm
Aug 27, 2014 7.45pm
Round Two
Birmingham
0-3
Sunderland

Thomas (53')
Gomez (77'), Johnson (87'), Wickham (88')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1695226121432
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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