Championship

Championship | Gameweek 16

Nov 11, 2023 at 12.30pm UK

Stadium of Light

Sunderland
3 - 1
Birmingham

Bellingham (17'), Sanderson (57' og.), Aouchiche (76')
Roberts (39'), Hume (45+4')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Miyoshi (30')
Laird (18'), James (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sunderland

All competitions

Last Game: Swansea 0-0 Sunderland
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Birmingham City

All competitions

Last Game: Birmingham 2-2 Ipswich
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Sunderland 2-1 Birmingham City

Sunderland have struggled at the Stadium of Light at points so far this season, but the visit of an out-of-form Birmingham side represents a good chance to collect maximum points. Blues are improving slowly as the squad gets accustomed to Rooney's style of play, although we do not believe that a maiden victory for the new boss is on the cards this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 54.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 22.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.76%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-2 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
Sunderland	Draw	Birmingham City
54.32% ( -0.04)	22.9% ( 0.03)	22.78% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 56.05% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.09% (

-0.11)

43.91% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.7% (

-0.11)

66.3% (

0.11)

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.91% (

-0.05)

16.09% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.52% (

-0.1)

45.48% (

0.1)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.8% (

-0.04)

33.2% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.19% (

-0.05)

69.81% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Sunderland 54.32%

Birmingham City 22.78%

Draw 22.9%

Sunderland	Draw	Birmingham City
2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.76% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.99% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.43% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.74% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.47% Total : 54.32%	1-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.9%	1-2 @ 5.93% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.89% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.18% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 2.34% Total : 22.78%