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Championship | Gameweek 21
Dec 13, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
King Power Stadium
Millwall logo

Leicester
3 - 2
Millwall

Vestergaard (48'), Daka (52'), Pereira (78')
Coady (37'), Faes (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bradshaw (10'), Nisbet (90+3')
Harding (13'), Cooper (21'), Wallace (24'), Saville (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Leicester City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leicester 4-0 Plymouth
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 1-0 Millwall
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Leicester City 2-0 Millwall

Leicester were convincing winners over Plymouth on the weekend, and there is no reason to suggest why the Foxes cannot repeat the trick against a Millwall side who could look to be quite progressive at the King Power. The Lions' tricky run of fixtures culminates on Wednesday night in the East Midlands, where we feel that Edwards's side will be the next victims of the league leaders. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 53.97%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 21.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester CityDrawMillwall
53.97% (-1.704 -1.7) 24.35% (0.727 0.73) 21.68% (0.982 0.98)
Both teams to score 50% (-0.837 -0.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.76% (-1.802 -1.8)51.24% (1.808 1.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.93% (-1.598 -1.6)73.07% (1.604 1.6)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.09% (-1.31 -1.31)18.91% (1.316 1.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.59% (-2.233 -2.23)50.41% (2.239 2.24)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.67% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)38.33% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.91% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)75.09% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 53.96%
    Millwall 21.68%
    Draw 24.35%
Leicester CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 12.07% (0.37 0.37)
2-0 @ 10.05% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-0 @ 5.58% (-0.31 -0.31)
3-1 @ 5.35% (-0.304 -0.3)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.148 -0.15)
4-0 @ 2.32% (-0.235 -0.24)
4-1 @ 2.23% (-0.228 -0.23)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.111 -0.11)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 53.96%
1-1 @ 11.57% (0.34 0.34)
0-0 @ 7.25% (0.511 0.51)
2-2 @ 4.62% (-0.063999999999999 -0.06)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 24.35%
0-1 @ 6.95% (0.484 0.48)
1-2 @ 5.55% (0.157 0.16)
0-2 @ 3.33% (0.228 0.23)
1-3 @ 1.77% (0.049 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.48% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.07% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 21.68%

How you voted: Leicester vs Millwall

Leicester City
82.8%
Draw
9.4%
Millwall
7.8%
64
Head to Head
Sep 22, 2021 7.45pm
Third Round
Millwall
0-2
Leicester
Lookman (50'), Iheanacho (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd28186440182258
2Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
3Sunderland28159440221854
4Burnley27141123192253
5Middlesbrough28128846341244
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn28126103126542
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2891453324941
8Watford28125113939041
9Queens Park RangersQPR2891183235-338
10Bristol City2791083331237
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
12Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
13Coventry CityCoventry2898113737035
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2898113343-1035
15Swansea CitySwansea2897123135-434
16Preston North EndPreston2871383035-534
17Millwall27710102626031
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Cardiff CityCardiff28610123143-1228
20Derby CountyDerby2876153138-727
21Hull City2868142738-1126
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2875162947-1826
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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