Championship

Championship | Gameweek 21

Dec 13, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

King Power Stadium

Leicester
3 - 2
Millwall

Vestergaard (48'), Daka (52'), Pereira (78')
Coady (37'), Faes (82')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Bradshaw (10'), Nisbet (90+3')
Harding (13'), Cooper (21'), Wallace (24'), Saville (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Leicester City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leicester City

All competitions

Last Game: Leicester 4-0 Plymouth
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Millwall

All competitions

Last Game: Cardiff 1-0 Millwall
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Leicester City 2-0 Millwall

Leicester were convincing winners over Plymouth on the weekend, and there is no reason to suggest why the Foxes cannot repeat the trick against a Millwall side who could look to be quite progressive at the King Power. The Lions' tricky run of fixtures culminates on Wednesday night in the East Midlands, where we feel that Edwards's side will be the next victims of the league leaders. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 53.97%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 21.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester City	Draw	Millwall
53.97% ( -1.7)	24.35% ( 0.73)	21.68% ( 0.98)

Both teams to score 50% (

-0.84)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.76% (

-1.8)

51.24% (

1.81)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.93% (

-1.6)

73.07% (

1.6)

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.09% (

-1.31)

18.91% (

1.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.59% (

-2.23)

50.41% (

2.24)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.67% (

-0.03)

38.33% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.91% (

-0.03)

75.09% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Leicester City 53.96%

Millwall 21.68%

Draw 24.35%

Leicester City	Draw	Millwall
1-0 @ 12.07% ( 0.37) 2-0 @ 10.05% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.31) 3-1 @ 5.35% ( -0.3) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.15) 4-0 @ 2.32% ( -0.24) 4-1 @ 2.23% ( -0.23) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.08% Total : 53.96%	1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.34) 0-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.51) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.91% Total : 24.35%	0-1 @ 6.95% ( 0.48) 1-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.23) 1-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.53% Total : 21.68%