Championship

Championship | Gameweek 17

Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK

King Power Stadium

Leicester
2 - 0
Watford

Vardy (76', 90+5' pen.)
Ndidi (62'), Vardy (68')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Louza (30'), Ismael (31'), Porteous (54'), Chakvetadze (72'), Kayembe (75'), Bachmann (83'), Asprilla (90')
Bachmann (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leicester City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leicester City

All competitions

Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-0 Leicester
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Watford

All competitions

Last Game: Watford 5-0 Rotherham
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Leicester City 2-1 Watford

With a bit of doubt creeping in at Leicester, Ismael and Watford will sense an opportunity. However, we feel that the home side can only have benefitted from the November international break, leading us to predict a hard-fought triumph for the Foxes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 50.26%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Watford had a probability of 24.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester City	Draw	Watford
50.26% ( -0.05)	25.17% ( 0.03)	24.57% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 50.88% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.26% (

-0.1)

51.74% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.48% (

-0.09)

73.51% (

0.09)

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.4% (

-0.06)

20.6% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.85% (

-0.09)

53.14% (

0.09)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.08% (

-0.04)

35.91% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.31% (

-0.04)

72.69% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Leicester City 50.25%

Watford 24.57%

Draw 25.16%

Leicester City	Draw	Watford
1-0 @ 11.68% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.23% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.98% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.92% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.59% Total : 50.25%	1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.4% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.96% Total : 25.16%	0-1 @ 7.58% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.13% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.09% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.32% ( 0) Other @ 1.92% Total : 24.57%