Home > Football > Championship
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 50.26%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Watford had a probability of 24.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
Result | ||
Leicester City | Draw | Watford |
50.26% ( -0.05) | 25.17% ( 0.03) | 24.57% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 50.88% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.26% ( -0.1) | 51.74% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.48% ( -0.09) | 73.51% ( 0.09) |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.4% ( -0.06) | 20.6% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.85% ( -0.09) | 53.14% ( 0.09) |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.08% ( -0.04) | 35.91% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.31% ( -0.04) | 72.69% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Leicester City | Draw | Watford |
1-0 @ 11.68% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.23% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.98% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.92% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.59% Total : 50.25% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.4% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.96% Total : 25.16% | 0-1 @ 7.58% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.13% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.09% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.32% ( 0) Other @ 1.92% Total : 24.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 31 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 62 | 19 | 43 | 66 |
2 | Burnley | 31 | 16 | 13 | 2 | 37 | 9 | 28 | 61 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 41 | 21 | 20 | 61 |
4 | Sunderland | 30 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 45 | 26 | 19 | 58 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 45 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 30 | 10 | 14 | 6 | 39 | 27 | 12 | 44 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 44 |
8 | Norwich CityNorwich | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 42 |
9 | Bristol City | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 42 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 42 |
11 | Coventry CityCoventry | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 41 |
12 | Watford | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 40 | 42 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 31 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 41 |
14 | Millwall | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 40 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 37 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 37 |
17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 34 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 32 |
19 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 31 |
20 | Portsmouth | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 30 |
21 | Hull City | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 29 |
22 | Derby CountyDerby | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 27 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 27 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 29 | 63 | -34 | 25 |
> Championship Full Table |