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Championship | Gameweek 17
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
King Power Stadium
Watford logo

Leicester
2 - 0
Watford

Vardy (76', 90+5' pen.)
Ndidi (62'), Vardy (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Louza (30'), Ismael (31'), Porteous (54'), Chakvetadze (72'), Kayembe (75'), Bachmann (83'), Asprilla (90')
Bachmann (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leicester City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-0 Leicester
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 5-0 Rotherham
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Leicester City 2-1 Watford

With a bit of doubt creeping in at Leicester, Ismael and Watford will sense an opportunity. However, we feel that the home side can only have benefitted from the November international break, leading us to predict a hard-fought triumph for the Foxes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 50.26%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Watford had a probability of 24.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester CityDrawWatford
50.26% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05) 25.17% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 24.57% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.88% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.26% (-0.101 -0.1)51.74% (0.101 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.48% (-0.087 -0.09)73.51% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.4% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)20.6% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.85% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)53.14% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.08% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)35.91% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.31% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)72.69% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 50.25%
    Watford 24.57%
    Draw 25.16%
Leicester CityDrawWatford
1-0 @ 11.68% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.46% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.98% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.86% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.55% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.97% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.92% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 50.25%
1-1 @ 11.96% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.4% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 25.16%
0-1 @ 7.58% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.13% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 3.88% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.09% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.32% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 24.57%

How you voted: Leicester vs Watford

Leicester City
90.3%
Draw
6.5%
Watford
3.2%
31
Head to Head
May 15, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 37
Watford
1-5
Leicester
Pedro (6')
Maddison (18'), Vardy (22', 70'), Barnes (46', 86')
Tielemans (55')
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
Third Round
Leicester
4-1
Watford
Tielemans (7' pen.), Maddison (25'), Barnes (54'), Albrighton (85')
Daley-Campbell (36')
Pedro (27')
Nov 28, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 13
Leicester
4-2
Watford
Maddison (16'), Vardy (34', 42'), Lookman (68')
King (30' pen.), Dennis (61')
Jun 20, 2020 12.30pm
Dec 4, 2019 7.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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