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Championship | Gameweek 21
Dec 13, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Birmingham logo

Cardiff
0 - 1
Birmingham


Meite (55')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bacuna (45+3')
Sunjic (42'), Dembele (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 1-0 Millwall
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 2-0 Birmingham
Friday, December 8 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 2-1 Birmingham City

Cardiff have not been at their best in recent weeks but will be confident of recording back-to-back wins as Birmingham visit South Wales on Wednesday. Blues have lost their last eight away matches and have shown little signs of improvement since Rooney took charge, meaning it is hard to predict anything other than a Bluebirds victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 49.92%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 24.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (7.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawBirmingham City
49.92% (0.35 0.35) 25.5% (0.165 0.17) 24.58% (-0.516 -0.52)
Both teams to score 49.93% (-0.994 -0.99)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47% (-1.056 -1.06)53% (1.055 1.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.41% (-0.906 -0.91)74.59% (0.90600000000001 0.91)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.75% (-0.28100000000001 -0.28)21.25% (0.28 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.84% (-0.435 -0.44)54.16% (0.434 0.43)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.41% (-1.032 -1.03)36.59% (1.031 1.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.62% (-1.049 -1.05)73.37% (1.047 1.05)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 49.92%
    Birmingham City 24.58%
    Draw 25.49%
Cardiff CityDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 12.04% (0.4 0.4)
2-1 @ 9.38% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 9.33% (0.228 0.23)
3-1 @ 4.84% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.82% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.098 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.87% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.86% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 49.92%
1-1 @ 12.1% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.77% (0.318 0.32)
2-2 @ 4.71% (-0.149 -0.15)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 25.49%
0-1 @ 7.82% (0.107 0.11)
1-2 @ 6.09% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-2 @ 3.93% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.04% (-0.106 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.32% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 24.58%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Birmingham

Cardiff City
76.2%
Draw
11.9%
Birmingham City
11.9%
42
Head to Head
Aug 29, 2023 7.45pm
Second Round
Birmingham
1-3
Cardiff
Hogan (70')
Oakley (35'), Cosgrove (76')
Jutkiewicz (56')
Colwill (3'), Wintle (68'), Etete (90+4')
Rinomhota (23'), Etete (50'), Romeo (90+3')
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Birmingham
0-2
Cardiff
Ng (84'), Robinson (90+5')
Aug 13, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 3
Cardiff
1-0
Birmingham
Philogene-Bidace (17')
Ojo (90+1')

Hogan (51'), James (70'), Trusty (90'), Colin (90+6')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 45
Cardiff
1-1
Birmingham
Vaulks (82' pen.)
McGuinness (48'), Drameh (57'), Nelson (67'), Vaulks (76')
Bela (22')
Gordon (58'), Etheridge (82')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 22
Birmingham
2-2
Cardiff
Deeney (29'), Sunjic (45+1')
Sunjic (63'), Friend (85')
Moore (66'), McGuinness (90+1')
Nelson (16'), Ralls (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds28178353193459
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley28151123692756
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
16Millwall28810102726134
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2878133651-1529
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


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