Championship

Championship | Gameweek 21

Dec 13, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Cardiff City Stadium

Cardiff
0 - 1
Birmingham

Meite (55')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Bacuna (45+3')
Sunjic (42'), Dembele (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff City

All competitions

Last Game: Cardiff 1-0 Millwall
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Birmingham City

All competitions

Last Game: Coventry 2-0 Birmingham
Friday, December 8 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Cardiff City 2-1 Birmingham City

Cardiff have not been at their best in recent weeks but will be confident of recording back-to-back wins as Birmingham visit South Wales on Wednesday. Blues have lost their last eight away matches and have shown little signs of improvement since Rooney took charge, meaning it is hard to predict anything other than a Bluebirds victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 49.92%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 24.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (7.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff City	Draw	Birmingham City
49.92% ( 0.35)	25.5% ( 0.17)	24.58% ( -0.52)

Both teams to score 49.93% (

-0.99)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47% (

-1.06)

53% (

1.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.41% (

-0.91)

74.59% (

0.91)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.75% (

-0.28)

21.25% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.84% (

-0.44)

54.16% (

0.43)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.41% (

-1.03)

36.59% (

1.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.62% (

-1.05)

73.37% (

1.05)

Score Analysis

Cardiff City 49.92%

Birmingham City 24.58%

Draw 25.49%

Cardiff City	Draw	Birmingham City
1-0 @ 12.04% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 9.33% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 4.84% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.41% Total : 49.92%	1-1 @ 12.1% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.9% Total : 25.49%	0-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.81% Total : 24.58%