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Championship | Gameweek 17
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Sheffield Wednesday logo

Birmingham
2 - 1
Sheff Weds

Bacuna (45+3'), James (81')
Dembele (15')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Byers (45')
Windass (32'), Wilks (37'), Bannan (39'), Musaba (61'), Gassama (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Sheffield Wednesday, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 3-1 Birmingham
Saturday, November 11 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Weds 0-4 Millwall
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 1-1 Sheffield Wednesday

The international break came at the right time for each of these two clubs and there could be more quality on show than there was before it. Nevertheless, it is difficult to see either of these teams prevailing, leading us to predict a competitive draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Sheffield Wednesday win was 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawSheffield Wednesday
39.91% (0.041000000000004 0.04) 26.92% (-0.012 -0.01) 33.16% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 50.76% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.62% (0.049999999999997 0.05)54.38% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.24% (0.041999999999998 0.04)75.75% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.31% (0.045000000000002 0.05)26.69% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.06% (0.061999999999998 0.06)61.94% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Sheffield Wednesday Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.24% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)30.75% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.98% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)67.02% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 39.91%
    Sheffield Wednesday 33.16%
    Draw 26.92%
Birmingham CityDrawSheffield Wednesday
1-0 @ 10.84%
2-1 @ 8.44% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.16% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 3.72% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.15% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.19% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.23% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.04% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 39.91%
1-1 @ 12.78% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.21% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.98% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.92%
0-1 @ 9.68% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.54% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 5.71% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.96% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.24% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 33.16%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Sheff Weds

Birmingham City
66.7%
Draw
16.7%
Sheffield Wednesday
16.7%
12
Head to Head
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 31
Sheff Weds
0-1
Birmingham

Shaw (44')
Shaw (50')
Hogan (63')
Clarke-Salter (22'), Etheridge (53')
Oct 17, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 5
Birmingham
0-1
Sheff Weds

Gardner (66')
Bannan (49' pen.)
Kachunga (74')
Feb 22, 2020 3pm
Nov 27, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Sheff Weds
1-1
Birmingham
Harris (81')
Borner (12')
Gimenez (48')
Alvaro (66'), Roberts (78'), Colin (84')
Jan 1, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 26
Sheff Weds
1-1
Birmingham
Fletcher (18')
Fox (87')
Adams (48')
Morrison (60'), Jota (71'), Gardner (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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