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Championship | Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2023 at 12pm UK
Ewood Park
Cardiff City logo

Blackburn
1 - 0
Cardiff

Dack (48')
Garrett (13'), Hedges (49'), Wharton (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Simpson (28'), Harris (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coventry 0-0 Cardiff
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 2-1 Cardiff City

With Cardiff registering so many draws of late, that would ordinarily make a low-scoring stalemate the most obvious result here. However, this is Blackburn we are talking about, and we feel that Rovers will net during the latter stages to maintain their run of no league draws all season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 32.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Blackburn Rovers in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Blackburn Rovers.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawCardiff City
39.97% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 27.51% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 32.52% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Both teams to score 48.81% (0.026999999999994 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.22% (0.035000000000004 0.04)56.78% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.28% (0.027000000000001 0.03)77.72% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.22% (0.013000000000005 0.01)27.79% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.63% (0.015000000000001 0.02)63.37% (-0.012 -0.01)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.59% (0.027999999999992 0.03)32.42% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.07% (0.032 0.03)68.93% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 39.97%
    Cardiff City 32.51%
    Draw 27.51%
Blackburn RoversDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 11.53% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.32% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.39% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 3.55% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 3.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.14% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 39.97%
1-1 @ 12.99%
0-0 @ 9.01% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.69% (0.0040000000000004 0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.51%
0-1 @ 10.14% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.32% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 5.72% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 2.75% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.15% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 32.51%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Cardiff

Blackburn Rovers
81.1%
Draw
14.9%
Cardiff City
4.1%
74
Head to Head
Oct 4, 2022 8pm
Jan 15, 2022 12.30pm
Cardiff
0-1
Blackburn

Drameh (41'), Ng (59'), Collins (73'), Pack (90+4')
Rothwell (14')
Paul van Hecke (42'), Travis (50'), Lenihan (56'), Nyambe (59'), Gallagher (90'), Kaminski (90+1')
Nyambe (76')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Blackburn
5-1
Cardiff
Gallagher (24'), Brereton Diaz (32', 45+1', 90' pen.), Dolan (53')
Morrison (58')
Flint (8'), Phillips (89')
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Cardiff
2-2
Blackburn
Vaulks (27'), Ralls (70')
Murphy (44'), Ralls (75')
Armstrong (43', 90')
Kaminski (19'), Lenihan (65')
Oct 3, 2020 3pm
Blackburn
0-0
Cardiff

Johnson (50'), Gallagher (80')

Cunningham (34'), Bacuna (49'), Tomlin (59')
Tomlin (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.20am
Bills
@
Ravens
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom7511125716
2Sunderland7502146815
3Blackburn RoversBlackburn7430146815
4Burnley7421134914
5Leeds UnitedLeeds7421124814
6Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd743093613
7Watford74121210213
8Middlesbrough732285311
9Swansea CitySwansea732285311
10Norwich CityNorwich7322119211
11Oxford UnitedOxford Utd7313108210
12Hull City72329819
13Derby CountyDerby7304101009
14Bristol City7232913-49
15Millwall7223121028
16Plymouth ArgylePlymouth7223811-38
17Queens Park RangersQPR7142811-37
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds7214914-57
19Luton TownLuton7214611-57
20Stoke CityStoke7205411-76
21Coventry CityCoventry7124611-55
22Preston North EndPreston7124412-85
23Portsmouth7043713-64
24Cardiff CityCardiff7016217-151


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