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Championship | Gameweek 21
Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Sheffield United logo

Cardiff
0 - 1
Sheff Utd

FT(HT: 0-0)
Baldock (64')
Stevens (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Sheffield United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 2-3 Hull City
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Utd 0-1 Rotherham
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 0-1 Sheffield United

Sheffield United have far more quality than their opponents, as indicated by their push for promotion to the Premier League, while their opponents may be looking over their shoulder at the relegation zone. That said, the Blades struggled against similar opposition last time out, so we back them to win, but by a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield United win with a probability of 48.9%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 24.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.7%) and 1-2 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 1-0 (8.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sheffield United in this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawSheffield United
24.34% (0.293 0.29) 26.77% (0.117 0.12) 48.9% (-0.403 -0.4)
Both teams to score 46.12% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.14% (-0.189 -0.19)57.87% (0.194 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.42% (-0.15 -0.15)78.58% (0.155 0.16)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.48% (0.165 0.16)39.52% (-0.159 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.79% (0.153 0.15)76.21% (-0.14800000000001 -0.15)
Sheffield United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.25% (-0.267 -0.27)23.75% (0.272 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.11% (-0.385 -0.38)57.9% (0.39 0.39)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 24.34%
    Sheffield United 48.9%
    Draw 26.76%
Cardiff CityDrawSheffield United
1-0 @ 8.71% (0.101 0.1)
2-1 @ 5.82% (0.048 0.05)
2-0 @ 4.05% (0.065 0.07)
3-1 @ 1.8% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.29% (0.006 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.25% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 24.34%
1-1 @ 12.52% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 9.39% (0.069000000000001 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.18% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 26.76%
0-1 @ 13.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 9.7% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
1-2 @ 9% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 4.65% (-0.077 -0.08)
1-3 @ 4.31% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.67% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.55% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 48.9%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Sheff Utd

Cardiff City
15.4%
Draw
19.2%
Sheffield United
65.4%
26
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Sheff Utd
1-0
Cardiff
Ndiaye (47')
Norwood (67')

Bagan (57'), McGuinness (60'), Ng (71')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Cardiff
2-3
Sheff Utd
Harris (32'), McGuinness (90')
Collins (44')
Morrison (52')
Gibbs-White (61'), Sharp (73'), McGoldrick (75')
Norwood (40')
Apr 2, 2018 7.45pm
Aug 15, 2017 7.45pm
Apr 12, 2011 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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