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Championship | Gameweek 22
Dec 10, 2022 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Stoke
2 - 2
Cardiff

Campbell (11'), Delap (18')
Souttar (39')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Wintle (6'), Robinson (58')
Nkounkou (52'), Allsop (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 2-1 Nott'm Forest
Friday, December 2 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Cardiff 3-1 Aston Villa
Wednesday, November 30 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Stoke City 1-1 Cardiff City

With both clubs heading into the World Cup on the back of a defeat, we feel avoiding another will be their focus here. With that in mind, expect a competitive share of the spoils to be played out in the Potteries, even if the consequence may be Cardiff dropping into the bottom three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 51.87%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 21.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawCardiff City
51.87% (0.092999999999996 0.09) 26.36% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 21.77% (-0.103 -0.1)
Both teams to score 44.54% (-0.143 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.5% (-0.127 -0.13)58.5% (0.126 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.92% (-0.1 -0.1)79.08% (0.101 0.1)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.31% (-0.012 -0.01)22.69% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.65% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)56.35% (0.020999999999994 0.02)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.62% (-0.177 -0.18)42.38% (0.177 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.23% (-0.153 -0.15)78.77% (0.15300000000001 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 51.86%
    Cardiff City 21.77%
    Draw 26.35%
Stoke CityDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 14.26% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 10.57% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.23% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.49% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.94% (0.006 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.93% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.67% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 51.86%
1-1 @ 12.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.62% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 3.9% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 26.35%
0-1 @ 8.26% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 5.26% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.54% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.5% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.12% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.01% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 21.77%

How you voted: Stoke vs Cardiff

Stoke City
56.3%
Draw
27.1%
Cardiff City
16.7%
48
Head to Head
Mar 16, 2022 7.45pm
Cardiff
2-1
Stoke
Doyle (39'), Hugill (43')
Hugill (68')
Baker (23')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Stoke
3-3
Cardiff
Brown (9'), Fletcher (16', 46')
Wilmot (62'), Souttar (64'), Surridge (83')
Colwill (66'), Harris (70'), Moore (71')
Nelson (39'), Bacuna (57'), Harris (89')
Mar 16, 2021 7pm
Dec 8, 2020 7.45pm
Stoke
1-2
Cardiff
Morrison (25' og.)
Smith (62'), McClean (73')
Glatzel (66'), Morrison (76')
Vaulks (24'), Ojo (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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