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Championship | Gameweek 22
Dec 10, 2022 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Stoke
2 - 2
Cardiff

Campbell (11'), Delap (18')
Souttar (39')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Wintle (6'), Robinson (58')
Nkounkou (52'), Allsop (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 2-1 Nott'm Forest
Friday, December 2 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Cardiff 3-1 Aston Villa
Wednesday, November 30 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Stoke City 1-1 Cardiff City

With both clubs heading into the World Cup on the back of a defeat, we feel avoiding another will be their focus here. With that in mind, expect a competitive share of the spoils to be played out in the Potteries, even if the consequence may be Cardiff dropping into the bottom three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 51.87%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 21.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawCardiff City
51.87% (0.092999999999996 0.09) 26.36% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 21.77% (-0.103 -0.1)
Both teams to score 44.54% (-0.143 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.5% (-0.127 -0.13)58.5% (0.126 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.92% (-0.1 -0.1)79.08% (0.101 0.1)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.31% (-0.012 -0.01)22.69% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.65% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)56.35% (0.020999999999994 0.02)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.62% (-0.177 -0.18)42.38% (0.177 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.23% (-0.153 -0.15)78.77% (0.15300000000001 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 51.86%
    Cardiff City 21.77%
    Draw 26.35%
Stoke CityDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 14.26% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 10.57% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.23% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.49% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.94% (0.006 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.93% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.67% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 51.86%
1-1 @ 12.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.62% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 3.9% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 26.35%
0-1 @ 8.26% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 5.26% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.54% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.5% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.12% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.01% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 21.77%

How you voted: Stoke vs Cardiff

Stoke City
56.3%
Draw
27.1%
Cardiff City
16.7%
48
Head to Head
Mar 16, 2022 7.45pm
Cardiff
2-1
Stoke
Doyle (39'), Hugill (43')
Hugill (68')
Baker (23')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Stoke
3-3
Cardiff
Brown (9'), Fletcher (16', 46')
Wilmot (62'), Souttar (64'), Surridge (83')
Colwill (66'), Harris (70'), Moore (71')
Nelson (39'), Bacuna (57'), Harris (89')
Mar 16, 2021 7pm
Dec 8, 2020 7.45pm
Stoke
1-2
Cardiff
Morrison (25' og.)
Smith (62'), McClean (73')
Glatzel (66'), Morrison (76')
Vaulks (24'), Ojo (90+5')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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