Championship

Championship | Gameweek 22

Dec 10, 2022 at 3pm UK

Bet365 Stadium

Stoke
2 - 2
Cardiff

Campbell (11'), Delap (18')
Souttar (39')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Wintle (6'), Robinson (58')
Nkounkou (52'), Allsop (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Stoke 2-1 Nott'm Forest
Friday, December 2 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cardiff City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Cardiff 3-1 Aston Villa
Wednesday, November 30 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Stoke City 1-1 Cardiff City

With both clubs heading into the World Cup on the back of a defeat, we feel avoiding another will be their focus here. With that in mind, expect a competitive share of the spoils to be played out in the Potteries, even if the consequence may be Cardiff dropping into the bottom three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 51.87%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 21.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Stoke City	Draw	Cardiff City
51.87% ( 0.09)	26.36% ( 0.01)	21.77% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 44.54% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.5% (

-0.13)

58.5% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.92% (

-0.1)

79.08% (

0.1)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.31% (

-0.01)

22.69% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.65% (

-0.02)

56.35% (

0.02)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.62% (

-0.18)

42.38% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.23% (

-0.15)

78.77% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Stoke City 51.86%

Cardiff City 21.77%

Draw 26.35%

Stoke City	Draw	Cardiff City
1-0 @ 14.26% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 10.57% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.49% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 51.86%	1-1 @ 12.24% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.6% Total : 26.35%	0-1 @ 8.26% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.09% Total : 21.77%