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Championship | Gameweek 22
Dec 10, 2022 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Stoke
2 - 2
Cardiff

Campbell (11'), Delap (18')
Souttar (39')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Wintle (6'), Robinson (58')
Nkounkou (52'), Allsop (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 2-1 Nott'm Forest
Friday, December 2 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Cardiff 3-1 Aston Villa
Wednesday, November 30 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Stoke City 1-1 Cardiff City

With both clubs heading into the World Cup on the back of a defeat, we feel avoiding another will be their focus here. With that in mind, expect a competitive share of the spoils to be played out in the Potteries, even if the consequence may be Cardiff dropping into the bottom three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 51.87%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 21.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawCardiff City
51.87% (0.092999999999996 0.09) 26.36% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 21.77% (-0.103 -0.1)
Both teams to score 44.54% (-0.143 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.5% (-0.127 -0.13)58.5% (0.126 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.92% (-0.1 -0.1)79.08% (0.101 0.1)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.31% (-0.012 -0.01)22.69% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.65% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)56.35% (0.020999999999994 0.02)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.62% (-0.177 -0.18)42.38% (0.177 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.23% (-0.153 -0.15)78.77% (0.15300000000001 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 51.86%
    Cardiff City 21.77%
    Draw 26.35%
Stoke CityDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 14.26% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 10.57% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.23% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.49% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.94% (0.006 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.93% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.67% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 51.86%
1-1 @ 12.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.62% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 3.9% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 26.35%
0-1 @ 8.26% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 5.26% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.54% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.5% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.12% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.01% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 21.77%

How you voted: Stoke vs Cardiff

Stoke City
56.3%
Draw
27.1%
Cardiff City
16.7%
48
Head to Head
Mar 16, 2022 7.45pm
Cardiff
2-1
Stoke
Doyle (39'), Hugill (43')
Hugill (68')
Baker (23')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Stoke
3-3
Cardiff
Brown (9'), Fletcher (16', 46')
Wilmot (62'), Souttar (64'), Surridge (83')
Colwill (66'), Harris (70'), Moore (71')
Nelson (39'), Bacuna (57'), Harris (89')
Mar 16, 2021 7pm
Dec 8, 2020 7.45pm
Stoke
1-2
Cardiff
Morrison (25' og.)
Smith (62'), McClean (73')
Glatzel (66'), Morrison (76')
Vaulks (24'), Ojo (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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