Championship

Championship | Gameweek 25

Dec 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Ewood Park

Blackburn
1 - 2
Middlesbrough

Hedges (5')
Hyam (90+4')
Buckley (50')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Forss (46'), McGree (56')
Hackney (8'), Crooks (49'), Smith (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Blackburn Rovers

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Sunderland 2-1 Blackburn
Monday, December 26 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Middlesbrough

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Middlesbrough 4-1 Wigan
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Blackburn Rovers 1-2 Middlesbrough

Given Blackburn's continued inconsistency, it is impossible to predict which performance that they will deliver in any particular game. Nevertheless, Middlesbrough are playing to such a high standard under Carrick that we feel that they will edge this contest, potentially by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Middlesbrough in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Middlesbrough.

Result
Blackburn Rovers	Draw	Middlesbrough
31.93% ( -0.23)	25.67% ( 0.09)	42.4% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 54.38% (

-0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.44% (

-0.44)

49.55% (

0.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.42% (

-0.39)

71.58% (

0.39)

Blackburn Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.84% (

-0.37)

29.16% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.9% (

-0.45)

65.09% (

0.45)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.77% (

-0.12)

23.23% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.86% (

-0.18)

57.14% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

Blackburn Rovers 31.93%

Middlesbrough 42.4%

Draw 25.66%

Blackburn Rovers	Draw	Middlesbrough
1-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.51% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.53% Total : 31.93%	1-1 @ 12.18% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.66%	0-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 8.89% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.22% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 4.33% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.28% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.06% Total : 42.4%