We said: Blackburn Rovers 1-1 Plymouth Argyle
While Plymouth may have won their last three competitive matches at Home Park, we do not expect them to end their long wait for a Championship away win on Saturday, but we do think that they may do enough to take a point off Blackburn, especially as they have drawn their last two away league games.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 59.61%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 16.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.05%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.