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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 60.52%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 18.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.
Result | ||
Norwich City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
60.52% ( 0.05) | 21.26% ( 0.11) | 18.22% ( -0.15) |
Both teams to score 54.27% ( -0.67) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.2% ( -0.75) | 42.8% ( 0.75) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.8% ( -0.75) | 65.2% ( 0.75) |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.29% ( -0.23) | 13.7% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.06% ( -0.45) | 40.94% ( 0.45) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.88% ( -0.61) | 37.11% ( 0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.1% ( -0.61) | 73.9% ( 0.61) |
Score Analysis |
Norwich City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
1-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 9.96% 3-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 6.6% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 3.31% 4-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.06% Total : 60.5% | 1-1 @ 10.01% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.25% | 0-1 @ 5.04% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.5% 1-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.45% Total : 18.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 48 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 15 | 26 | 45 |
3 | Burnley | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 44 |
4 | Sunderland | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 43 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 35 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 22 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 35 |
8 | Watford | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Millwall | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 28 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Bristol City | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 26 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
16 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 18 |
23 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
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