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Championship | Gameweek 15
Nov 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Derby
1 - 1
Plymouth

Yates (8')
Jackson (57')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Randell (41')
Bundu (42'), Sorinola (65'), Mumba (68'), Grimshaw (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Derby County and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coventry 1-2 Derby
Wednesday, November 6 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 1-0 Portsmouth
Tuesday, November 5 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Derby County 1-0 Plymouth Argyle

After a much-needed win at Coventry earlier in the week, Derby should be confident of putting a struggling Plymouth outfit to the sword at Pride Park. Despite their recent home success over bottom side Portsmouth, we are not expecting the Pilgrims to record back-to-back maximums, with their woeful away form likely to continue this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 67.52%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 12.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.59%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawPlymouth Argyle
67.52% (0.0010000000000048 0) 19.82% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 12.66% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Both teams to score 45.74% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.66% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)47.34% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)69.56% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.96% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)13.04% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.39% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)39.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.6% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)47.4% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)82.79% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 67.51%
    Plymouth Argyle 12.66%
    Draw 19.82%
Derby CountyDrawPlymouth Argyle
2-0 @ 12.82%
1-0 @ 12.59%
2-1 @ 9.58%
3-0 @ 8.71%
3-1 @ 6.5% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 4.44%
4-1 @ 3.31%
3-2 @ 2.43%
5-0 @ 1.81%
5-1 @ 1.35%
4-2 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 67.51%
1-1 @ 9.4%
0-0 @ 6.18% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 3.57% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 19.82%
0-1 @ 4.62%
1-2 @ 3.51% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 1.72%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 12.66%

How you voted: Derby vs Plymouth

Derby County
71.7%
Draw
13.3%
Plymouth Argyle
15.0%
60
Head to Head
Mar 7, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 29
Plymouth
2-1
Derby
Wright (59'), Hardie (70' pen.)
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 7
Derby
2-3
Plymouth
Collins (26'), Mendez-Laing (38')
McGoldrick (57')
Whittaker (56'), Cosgrove (77', 90')
Mumba (34')
Jan 26, 2010 3pm
Plymouth
1-0
Derby
Mackie (82')
Fallon (29'), Sawyer (45')

McEveley (14'), Pearson (38'), Hunt (45'), Savage (78'), Buxton (81')
Aug 22, 2009 3pm
Derby
2-1
Plymouth
Buxton (40'), Addison (90')
Addison (76')
Judge (17' pen.)
Fletcher (90')
Feb 7, 2009 3pm
Plymouth
0-3
Derby
Hulse (46', 52'), Teale (43')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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