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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 67.52%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 12.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.59%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Derby County | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
67.52% ( 0) | 19.82% ( -0) | 12.66% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 45.74% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.66% ( -0) | 47.34% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.44% ( -0) | 69.56% ( 0.01) |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.96% ( -0) | 13.04% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.39% ( -0) | 39.61% ( 0) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.6% ( -0.01) | 47.4% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.21% ( -0) | 82.79% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Derby County | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
2-0 @ 12.82% 1-0 @ 12.59% 2-1 @ 9.58% 3-0 @ 8.71% 3-1 @ 6.5% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.44% 4-1 @ 3.31% 3-2 @ 2.43% 5-0 @ 1.81% 5-1 @ 1.35% 4-2 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.75% Total : 67.51% | 1-1 @ 9.4% 0-0 @ 6.18% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.57% ( -0) Other @ 0.66% Total : 19.82% | 0-1 @ 4.62% 1-2 @ 3.51% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.81% Total : 12.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
> Championship Full Table |