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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 12
Nov 21, 2020 at 3pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Derby logo

Bristol City
1 - 0
Derby

Diedhiou (78')
Paterson (46')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Buchanan (58')

The Match

Match Report

Bristol City edge the Championship match at Ashton Gate.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship fixture between Bristol City and Derby County, including predictions, team news and lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 40.53%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bristol City in this match.

Result
Bristol CityDrawDerby County
40.53%26.91%32.55%
Both teams to score 50.62%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.51%54.48%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.15%75.84%
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.6%26.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.44%61.56%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.78%31.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.44%67.56%
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 40.53%
    Derby County 32.55%
    Draw 26.91%
Bristol CityDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 10.97%
2-1 @ 8.51%
2-0 @ 7.31%
3-1 @ 3.78%
3-0 @ 3.25%
3-2 @ 2.2%
4-1 @ 1.26%
4-0 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 40.53%
1-1 @ 12.77%
0-0 @ 8.24%
2-2 @ 4.95%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.91%
0-1 @ 9.59%
1-2 @ 7.44%
0-2 @ 5.59%
1-3 @ 2.89%
0-3 @ 2.17%
2-3 @ 1.92%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 32.55%

Head to Head
Feb 12, 2020 7.45pm
Aug 20, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Derby
1-2
Bristol City
Marriott (85')
Huddlestone (79'), Dowell (81')
Weimann (16'), Brownhill (45')
Brownhill (75')
Jul 14, 2019 2.30pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Bristol City
P-P
Derby
Apr 27, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 45
Bristol City
0-2
Derby

Semenyo (59')
Lawrence (18'), Bogle (77')
Bogle (21'), Mount (29'), Lawrence (63'), Bennett (93')
Dec 22, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 23
Derby
1-1
Bristol City
Waghorn (37')
Paterson (24')
Pack (13'), Pisano (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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