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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 42.62%. A win for had a probability of 32.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest win was 0-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%).
Result | ||
Bristol City | Draw | Derby County |
42.62% | 25.22% | 32.15% |
Both teams to score 55.96% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.45% | 47.55% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.24% | 69.76% |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.74% | 22.26% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.3% | 55.7% |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.98% | 28.02% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.33% | 63.67% |
Score Analysis |
Bristol City | Draw | Derby County |
1-0 @ 9.37% 2-1 @ 8.96% 2-0 @ 7.04% 3-1 @ 4.49% 3-0 @ 3.53% 3-2 @ 2.85% 4-1 @ 1.69% 4-0 @ 1.33% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.31% Total : 42.62% | 1-1 @ 11.92% 0-0 @ 6.24% 2-2 @ 5.7% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.22% | 0-1 @ 7.93% 1-2 @ 7.58% 0-2 @ 5.05% 1-3 @ 3.22% 2-3 @ 2.42% 0-3 @ 2.14% 1-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.8% Total : 32.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |