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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 4
Aug 16, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Luton Town

Bristol City
2 - 0
Luton

Wells (5'), Conway (27')
Wells (61'), Weimann (67')
Sykes (67')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Freeman (67'), Bradley (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bristol City 1-1 Luton Town

With both teams low on confidence heading into this one, we expect a nervy and tense affair with the teams cancelling each other out and settling for a point apiece at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 44.24%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (8.22%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Bristol CityDrawLuton Town
29.01% (0.056999999999999 0.06) 26.75% (0.029 0.03) 44.24% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Both teams to score 49.62% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.93% (-0.077000000000005 -0.08)55.07% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.67% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)76.33% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.93% (0.0049999999999955 0)34.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.25% (0.0019999999999989 0)70.75% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.25% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)24.75% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.69% (-0.104 -0.1)59.31% (0.109 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 29.01%
    Luton Town 44.24%
    Draw 26.74%
Bristol CityDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 9.08% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 6.83% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.89% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.45% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 1.76% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.71% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 29.01%
1-1 @ 12.67% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.43% (0.026 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 26.74%
0-1 @ 11.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.85% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.22% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.12% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.83% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.22% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.44% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.34% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 44.24%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Luton

Bristol City
42.7%
Draw
33.3%
Luton Town
24.0%
96
Head to Head
Jan 25, 2022 7.45pm
Luton
2-1
Bristol City
Lockyer (42'), Adebayo (68')
Berry (24'), Kioso (90+6')
Weimann (56')
Semenyo (62'), Pring (67')
Sep 15, 2021 7.45pm
Bristol City
1-1
Luton
Baker (57')
Pring (37')
Hylton (90+1')
Lansbury (84'), Bree (88')
Apr 25, 2021 1pm
Bristol City
2-3
Luton
Wells (31'), Nagy (38')
Collins (59'), Adebayo (68'), Cornick (74')
Dec 29, 2020 7.45pm
Dec 29, 2019 3pm
Bristol City
3-0
Luton
Watkins (4'), Diedhiou (44' pen.), Weimann (66')
Williams (49')

Berry (32'), Bradley (58'), Collins (63'), Pearson (76')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom7511125716
2Sunderland7502146815
3Blackburn RoversBlackburn7430146815
4Burnley7421134914
5Leeds UnitedLeeds7421124814
6Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd743093613
7Watford74121210213
8Middlesbrough732285311
9Swansea CitySwansea732285311
10Norwich CityNorwich7322119211
11Oxford UnitedOxford Utd7313108210
12Hull City72329819
13Derby CountyDerby7304101009
14Bristol City7232913-49
15Millwall7223121028
16Plymouth ArgylePlymouth7223811-38
17Queens Park RangersQPR7142811-37
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds7214914-57
19Luton TownLuton7214611-57
20Stoke CityStoke7205411-76
21Coventry CityCoventry7124611-55
22Preston North EndPreston7124412-85
23Portsmouth7043713-64
24Cardiff CityCardiff7016217-151


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