Championship

Championship | Gameweek 2

Aug 6, 2022 at 3pm UK

Turf Moor

Burnley
1 - 1
Luton

Brownhill (50')
Barnes (89'), Roberts (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Potts (5')
Morris (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Burnley and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

Last Six:

Last Game: Huddersfield 0-1 Burnley
Friday, July 29 at 8pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Blackpool	1	1	3
6	Burnley	1	1	3
7	Cardiff City	1	1	3

Luton Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Luton 0-0 Birmingham
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	West Bromwich Albion	1	0	1
15	Luton Town	1	0	1
16	Preston North End	1	0	1

We said: Burnley 2-0 Luton Town

Burnley impressed in their first game of the season, and we think that Kompany's side will have enough quality to beat Luton on Saturday, which would ensure the Clarets begin the campaign with consecutive victories. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 41.59%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 30.33% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
Burnley	Draw	Luton Town
41.59% ( -0.28)	28.07% ( 0.34)	30.33% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 46.46% (

-1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.61% (

-1.25)

59.39% (

1.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.23% (

-0.97)

79.77% (

0.97)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.87% (

-0.75)

28.13% (

0.75)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.19% (

-0.96)

63.81% (

0.96)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.64% (

-0.71)

35.36% (

0.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.88% (

-0.75)

72.12% (

0.75)

Score Analysis

Burnley 41.59%

Luton Town 30.33%

Draw 28.07%

Burnley	Draw	Luton Town
1-0 @ 12.61% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 8.32% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 8% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.52% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.75% Total : 41.59%	1-1 @ 13.11% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 9.95% ( 0.46) 2-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.07%	0-1 @ 10.34% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.08% Total : 30.33%