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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | Blackpool | 1 | 1 | 3 |
6 | Burnley | 1 | 1 | 3 |
7 | Cardiff City | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
14 | West Bromwich Albion | 1 | 0 | 1 |
15 | Luton Town | 1 | 0 | 1 |
16 | Preston North End | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 41.59%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 30.33% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Burnley | Draw | Luton Town |
41.59% ( -0.28) | 28.07% ( 0.34) | 30.33% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 46.46% ( -1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.61% ( -1.25) | 59.39% ( 1.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.23% ( -0.97) | 79.77% ( 0.97) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.87% ( -0.75) | 28.13% ( 0.75) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.19% ( -0.96) | 63.81% ( 0.96) |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.64% ( -0.71) | 35.36% ( 0.71) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.88% ( -0.75) | 72.12% ( 0.75) |
Score Analysis |
Burnley | Draw | Luton Town |
1-0 @ 12.61% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 8.32% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 8% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.52% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.75% Total : 41.59% | 1-1 @ 13.11% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 9.95% ( 0.46) 2-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.07% | 0-1 @ 10.34% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.08% Total : 30.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Burnley | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 41 |
4 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | Watford | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
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