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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 24
Jan 25, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Kenilworth Road
Bristol City

Luton
2 - 1
Bristol City

Lockyer (42'), Adebayo (68')
Berry (24'), Kioso (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Weimann (56')
Semenyo (62'), Pring (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Luton Town 1-1 Bristol City

Both teams are far enough ahead of the relegation zone to play with a certain level of freedom at the weekend. Nevertheless, given their respective inconsistencies, we are backing a low-scoring draw to play out between two evenly-matched sides. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 55.22%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 21.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawBristol City
55.22%23.26%21.52%
Both teams to score 53.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.09%46.91%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.84%69.16%
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.16%16.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.15%46.85%
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.96%36.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.17%72.82%
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 55.22%
    Bristol City 21.52%
    Draw 23.25%
Luton TownDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 10.81%
2-1 @ 9.83%
2-0 @ 9.63%
3-1 @ 5.84%
3-0 @ 5.72%
3-2 @ 2.98%
4-1 @ 2.6%
4-0 @ 2.55%
4-2 @ 1.33%
5-1 @ 0.93%
5-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 55.22%
1-1 @ 11.03%
0-0 @ 6.07%
2-2 @ 5.01%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.25%
0-1 @ 6.2%
1-2 @ 5.63%
0-2 @ 3.16%
1-3 @ 1.92%
2-3 @ 1.71%
0-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 21.52%

How you voted: Luton vs Bristol City

Luton Town
72.2%
Draw
12.4%
Bristol City
15.5%
97
Head to Head
Sep 15, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Bristol City
1-1
Luton
Baker (57')
Pring (37')
Hylton (90+1')
Lansbury (84'), Bree (88')
Apr 25, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 44
Bristol City
2-3
Luton
Wells (31'), Nagy (38')
Collins (59'), Adebayo (68'), Cornick (74')
Dec 29, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Luton
2-1
Bristol City
Rea (17'), Dewsbury-Hall (68')
Tunnicliffe (34')
Bradley (61' og.)
Semenyo (74')
Dec 29, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 25
Bristol City
3-0
Luton
Watkins (4'), Diedhiou (44' pen.), Weimann (66')
Williams (49')

Berry (32'), Bradley (58'), Collins (63'), Pearson (76')
Oct 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 12
Luton
3-0
Bristol City
Ruddock (56'), Cornick (62'), Williams (94' og.)
Tunnicliffe (51'), Ruddock (84')

Diedhiou (63'), Hunt (91')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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