Championship

Championship | Gameweek 24

Jan 25, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Kenilworth Road

Luton
2 - 1
Bristol City

Lockyer (42'), Adebayo (68')
Berry (24'), Kioso (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Weimann (56')
Semenyo (62'), Pring (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Luton Town 1-1 Bristol City

Both teams are far enough ahead of the relegation zone to play with a certain level of freedom at the weekend. Nevertheless, given their respective inconsistencies, we are backing a low-scoring draw to play out between two evenly-matched sides. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 55.22%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 21.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.

Result
Luton Town	Draw	Bristol City
55.22%	23.26%	21.52%

Both teams to score 53.18%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.09%

46.91%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.84%

69.16%

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.16%

16.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.15%

46.85%

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.96%

36.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.17%

72.82%

Score Analysis

Luton Town 55.22%

Bristol City 21.52%

Draw 23.25%

Luton Town	Draw	Bristol City
1-0 @ 10.81% 2-1 @ 9.83% 2-0 @ 9.63% 3-1 @ 5.84% 3-0 @ 5.72% 3-2 @ 2.98% 4-1 @ 2.6% 4-0 @ 2.55% 4-2 @ 1.33% 5-1 @ 0.93% 5-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.11% Total : 55.22%	1-1 @ 11.03% 0-0 @ 6.07% 2-2 @ 5.01% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.25%	0-1 @ 6.2% 1-2 @ 5.63% 0-2 @ 3.16% 1-3 @ 1.92% 2-3 @ 1.71% 0-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.84% Total : 21.52%