Championship

Championship | Gameweek 18

Oct 29, 2022 at 12pm UK

Ashton Gate Stadium

Bristol City
1 - 1
Swansea

Conway (24')
Pring (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ntcham (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol City

All competitions

Last Game: Reading 2-0 Bristol City
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Swansea City

All competitions

Last Game: Swansea 2-0 Cardiff
Sunday, October 23 at 12pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Bristol City 1-3 Swansea City

Bristol City are not shy in front of goal but it is a leaky defence at the other end that has hampered their start to this Championship campaign. Swansea are high on confidence after six wins in the last seven and will be eyeing up a fragile Robins' defence when they visit Ashton Gate on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 39.96%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 34.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Bristol City	Draw	Swansea City
39.96% ( -0.75)	25.5% ( 0.19)	34.54% ( 0.56)

Both teams to score 55.71% (

-0.53)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.82% (

-0.75)

48.17% (

0.75)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.67% (

-0.69)

70.33% (

0.69)

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.16% (

-0.71)

23.84% (

0.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.98% (

-1.03)

58.02% (

1.03)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.15% (

-0.02)

26.84% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.85% (

-0.02)

62.15% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Bristol City 39.96%

Swansea City 34.54%

Draw 25.49%

Bristol City	Draw	Swansea City
1-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 6.58% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 3.14% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.98% Total : 39.96%	1-1 @ 12.06% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.49%	0-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 7.94% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.11% Total : 34.54%