Championship

Championship | Gameweek 16

Oct 18, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Swansea.com Stadium

Swansea
3 - 2
Reading

Darling (41'), Cooper (61'), Fulton (75')
Latibeaudiere (65')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Meite (26'), Ince (33')
Yiadom (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swansea City

All competitions

Last Game: Burnley 4-0 Swansea
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Reading

All competitions

Last Game: Reading 0-2 West Brom
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Swansea City 1-0 Reading

After a heavy defeat at Burnley on Saturday, Swansea will be desperate to get back on track against Reading at the Liberty Stadium. Reading have struggled to pose a threat on the road so far this term, and we do not see that changing on a difficult midweek trip to South Wales. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 55.02%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Reading had a probability of 21.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result
Swansea City	Draw	Reading
55.02% ( -0.81)	23.7% ( 0.2)	21.27% ( 0.61)

Both teams to score 51.43% (

0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.94% (

-0.09)

49.06% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.86% (

-0.08)

71.14% (

0.08)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.3% (

-0.33)

17.7% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.65% (

-0.57)

48.35% (

0.57)

Reading Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.49% (

0.57)

37.51% (

-0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.71% (

0.56)

74.29% (

-0.55)

Score Analysis

Swansea City 55.02%

Reading 21.27%

Draw 23.7%

Swansea City	Draw	Reading
1-0 @ 11.49% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 9.95% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 5.63% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.49% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.55% Total : 55.02%	1-1 @ 11.27% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 23.7%	0-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 3.19% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.63% Total : 21.27%