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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 55.02%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Reading had a probability of 21.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.
Result | ||
Swansea City | Draw | Reading |
55.02% ( -0.81) | 23.7% ( 0.2) | 21.27% ( 0.61) |
Both teams to score 51.43% ( 0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.94% ( -0.09) | 49.06% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.86% ( -0.08) | 71.14% ( 0.08) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.3% ( -0.33) | 17.7% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.65% ( -0.57) | 48.35% ( 0.57) |
Reading Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.49% ( 0.57) | 37.51% ( -0.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.71% ( 0.56) | 74.29% ( -0.55) |
Score Analysis |
Swansea City | Draw | Reading |
1-0 @ 11.49% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 9.95% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 5.63% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.49% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.55% Total : 55.02% | 1-1 @ 11.27% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 23.7% | 0-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 3.19% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.63% Total : 21.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 12 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Sunderland | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 32 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
4 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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